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Schaumburg Saxons (5-14)

Region: IL MidSub

State: IL

Coach: Jon Novotny

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	at Saint Viator (16-5)	IL MidSub	89.8		L	5-	13		-0.050
4/04	at Wheaton-Warrenville So (13-4)	IL DuPage2	90.9	9	L	3-	14		0.000
4/08	PALATINE (9-8)	IL MidSub	86.4		W	5-	3		0.350
4/14	at Hoffman Estates (1-15)	IL MidSub	76.2		W	7-	6	2ot	0.225
4/17	GRAYSLAKE CENTRAL (4-13)	IL NorSub	80.4		L	6-	8		-0.300
4/18	at Conant (2-12)	IL MidSub	78.8		W	7-	4		0.250
4/23	NAPERVILLE NORTH (14-3)	IL DuPage2	90.6	10	L	7-	12		-0.075
4/24	at Palatine (9-8)	IL MidSub	86.4		L	6-	7	ot	-0.100
4/26	at Glenbrook South (2-15)	IL CenSub	80.0		L	9-	10		-0.200
4/29	FREMD (8-7)	IL MidSub	85.1		L	4-	13		-0.175
5/01	LAKE ZURICH (11-7)	IL NorSub	83.8		L	4-	7		-0.225
5/02	HOFFMAN ESTATES (1-15)	IL MidSub	76.2		W	10-	7		0.175
5/06	CONANT (2-12)	IL MidSub	78.8		W	7-	5		0.200
5/08	at Naperville Central (5-10)	IL DuPage2	81.2		L	6-	12		-0.225
5/09	at Fremd (8-7)	IL MidSub	85.1		L	2-	8		-0.125
5/12	at Glenbrook North (18-2)	IL CenSub	94.4	4	L	6-	14		0.000
5/13	vs. Barrington # (7-12)	IL MidSub	85.5		L	2-	9		-0.100
5/15	at Evanston Township (9-12)	IL CenSub	87.0		L	1-	12		-0.075
5/20	at Fenwick (9-6)	IL WesSub	88.3		L	7-	16		-0.050
# Neutral site			86.0						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	A	Saint Viator	5-	13	-8	-8		1.07	0.40
4/04	A	Wheaton-Warrenville So	3-	14	-11	-10		1.07	-1.01
4/08	H	Palatine	5-	3	2	-4	+++	-1.07	6.30
4/14	A	Hoffman Estates	7-	6	1	1		1.07	-0.15
4/17	H	Grayslake Central	6-	8	-2	2	–	-1.07	-3.58
4/18	A	Conant	7-	4	3	0	+	1.07	2.77
4/23	H	Naperville North	7-	12	-5	-7	+	-1.07	2.18
4/24	A	Palatine	6-	7	-1	-6	++	1.07	5.43
4/26	A	Glenbrook South	9-	10	-1	-2		1.07	0.80
4/29	H	Fremd	4-	13	-9	-3	––	-1.07	-5.72
5/01	H	Lake Zurich	4-	7	-3	-1		-1.07	-1.96
5/02	H	Hoffman Estates	10-	7	3	3		-1.07	-0.28
5/06	H	Conant	7-	5	2	2		-1.07	-0.37
5/08	A	Naperville Central	6-	12	-6	-1	––	1.07	-4.71
5/09	A	Fremd	2-	8	-6	-5		1.07	-0.59
5/12	A	Glenbrook North	6-	14	-8	-14	+++	1.07	6.22
5/13	N	Barrington	2-	9	-7	-6		0.00	-1.40
5/15	A	Evanston Township	1-	12	-11	-7	–	1.07	-3.59
5/20	A	Fenwick	7-	16	-9	-8		1.07	-0.74
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	A	Wheaton-Warrenville So	3-	14	1.00
5/15	A	Evanston Township	1-	12	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1808
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.23		Natl Power Rank	1808
Natl SOS Rating	78.51		Natl SOS Rank	638
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2331
W-L Pct Rating	0.26		W-L Pct Rank	2200
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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