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Scripps Ranch Falcons (9-10)

Conference: D1

Region: CA City

State: CA

Coach: Andrew Day

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/04	GROSSMONT (14-2)	CA Grosmnt	91.8	6	L	2-	13		-0.050
3/07	at Santana (10-10)	CA Grosmnt	86.4		L	4-	6		-0.250
3/11	at Carlsbad (10-8)	CA North	89.2		L	7-	10		-0.150
3/12	MOUNT CARMEL (6-10)	CA North	86.8		W	7-	4		0.250
3/14	at Fallbrook (4-16)	CA North	83.9		W	8-	7		0.225
3/25	SAN DIEGUITO (6-15)	CA Coastal	86.0		L	6-	7	ot	-0.300
3/28	CARLSBAD (10-8)	CA North	89.2		L	4-	9		-0.175
4/02	FRANCIS PARKER (4-12)	CA Coastal	86.2		W	7-	2		0.250
4/04	at San Marcos (8-11)	CA North	87.4		W	6-	5		0.275
4/07	EASTLAKE (7-12)	CA Metro	83.4		W	6-	3		0.150
4/09	CATHEDRAL CATHOLIC (11-6)	CA City	91.3	9	L	1-	13		-0.075
4/14	at Bonita Vista (4-12)	CA Metro	80.1		W	12-	4		0.100
4/16	at Mira Mesa (2-12)	CA City	83.8		W	10-	7		0.200
4/18	PATRICK HENRY (14-5)	CA City	90.7		L	4-	7		-0.150
4/23	CORONADO (19-3)	CA City	95.7	2	L	0-	20		0.000
4/25	at La Jolla HS (11-8)	CA City	91.1	10	L	3-	12		-0.050
4/30	at Serra (3-15)	CA City	83.3		W	13-	4		0.175
5/02	at Cathedral Catholic (11-6)	CA City	91.3	9	L	5-	11		-0.075
5/07	MIRA MESA (2-12)	CA City	83.8		W	6-	4		0.200
			80.8						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/04	H	Grossmont	2-	13	-11	-8	–	-0.20	-3.32
3/07	A	Santana	4-	6	-2	0		0.20	-1.63
3/11	A	Carlsbad	7-	10	-3	-4		0.20	0.73
3/12	H	Mount Carmel	7-	4	3	0	+	-0.20	2.71
3/14	A	Fallbrook	8-	7	1	1		0.20	-0.20
3/25	H	San Dieguito	6-	7	-1	2	–	-0.20	-2.74
3/28	H	Carlsbad	4-	9	-5	-3		-0.20	-1.67
4/02	H	Francis Parker	7-	2	5	0	++	-0.20	5.19
4/04	A	San Marcos	6-	5	1	-1		0.20	1.80
4/07	H	Eastlake	6-	3	3	4		-0.20	-1.33
4/09	H	Cathedral Catholic	1-	13	-12	-7	––	-0.20	-5.23
4/14	A	Bonita Vista	12-	4	8	6	+	0.20	2.02
4/16	A	Mira Mesa	10-	7	3	2		0.20	1.15
4/18	H	Patrick Henry	4-	7	-3	-4		-0.20	1.27
4/23	H	Coronado	0-	20	-20	-15	––	-0.20	-4.63
4/25	A	La Jolla HS	3-	12	-9	-8		0.20	-0.69
4/30	A	Serra	13-	4	9	3	++	0.20	5.67
5/02	A	Cathedral Catholic	5-	11	-6	-7		0.20	1.16
5/07	H	Mira Mesa	6-	4	2	2		-0.20	-0.25
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/04	H	Grossmont	2-	13	1.00
4/09	H	Cathedral Catholic	1-	13	2.00
4/23	H	Coronado	0-	20	4.63
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	992
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.72		Natl Power Rank	992
Natl SOS Rating	68.35		Natl SOS Rank	1648
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	584
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1439
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-20.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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