| Region: VA Patriot | State: VA | Coach: Ken Carrington |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/26 | at Robert E Lee (2-10) | VA Patriot | 79.6 | | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.050 |
4/01 | at Fairfax (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.325 |
4/11 | at West Springfield (7-6) | VA Patriot | 91.0 | 9 | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.325 |
4/15 | ANNANDALE (15-4) | VA Patriot | 93.4 | 7 | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.225 |
4/19 | HAYFIELD (6-5) | VA Patriot | 89.3 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.225 |
4/22 | at T.C. Williams (3-10) | VA Patriot | 80.7 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/23 | WEST POTOMAC (1-11) | VA Patriot | 77.7 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/25 | at Chantilly (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 8- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/29 | LAKE BRADDOCK (11-5) | VA Patriot | 90.3 | 10 | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.250 |
5/01 | T.C. WILLIAMS (3-10) | VA Patriot | 80.7 | | W | 17- | 6 | | 0.025 |
5/05 | vs. Lake Braddock # (11-5) | VA Patriot | 90.3 | 10 | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.225 |
5/14 | at Woodson (9-7) | VA Liberty | 93.4 | 8 | L | 4- | 14 | | -0.100 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.2 | | | | | | -0.42 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/26 | A | Robert E Lee | 10- | 4 | 6 | 8 | – | 1.02 | -2.16 | |
4/01 | A | Fairfax | 5- | 6 | -1 | 3 | –– | 1.02 | -4.20 | |
4/11 | A | West Springfield | 11- | 10 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.02 | 3.54 | |
4/15 | H | Annandale | 7- | 10 | -3 | -1 | | -1.02 | -1.63 | |
4/19 | H | Hayfield | 13- | 7 | 6 | 1 | ++ | -1.02 | 4.59 | |
4/22 | A | T.C. Williams | 16- | 7 | 9 | 7 | | 1.02 | 1.66 | |
4/23 | H | West Potomac | 15- | 2 | 13 | 11 | + | -1.02 | 2.44 | |
4/25 | A | Chantilly | 8- | 17 | -9 | -12 | + | 1.02 | 2.66 | |
4/29 | H | Lake Braddock | 5- | 9 | -4 | 0 | –– | -1.02 | -4.22 | |
5/01 | H | T.C. Williams | 17- | 6 | 11 | 9 | | -1.02 | 1.61 | |
5/05 | N | Lake Braddock | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | -0.19 | |
5/14 | A | Woodson | 4- | 14 | -10 | -6 | –– | 1.02 | -4.09 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/23 | H | West Potomac | 15- | 2 | -2.44 |
5/01 | H | T.C. Williams | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
5/14 | A | Woodson | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.29 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 768 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 89.59 | | Natl Power Rank | 768 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 78.25 | | Natl SOS Rank | 646 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.42 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2224 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.50 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1407 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
| 
