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Sebastian River Sharks (4-8)

Region: FL Dist-9

State: FL

Coach: Aaron Fusselman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/13	HOLY TRINITY EPISCOPAL (0-12)	FL Dist-9	44.8		W	8-	7		0.100
2/15	VERO BEACH (13-6)	FL Dist-9	76.0	5	L	7-	17		0.000
2/19	at Saint Edwards (4-8)	FL Dist-9	59.1		W	8-	5		0.450
2/21	at Viera (3-3)	FL Dist-9	52.2		L	15-	16		-0.250
2/29	at Melbourne Cent Cath (8-8)	FL Dist-9	66.7	9	L	4-	15		-0.025
3/04	at Vero Beach (13-6)	FL Dist-9	76.0	5	L	2-	20		0.000
3/06	SAINT EDWARDS (4-8)	FL Dist-9	59.1		L	3-	14		-0.100
3/18	at Holy Trinity Episcopal (0-12)	FL Dist-9	44.8		W	12-	4		0.150
3/20	MELBOURNE CENT CATH (8-8)	FL Dist-9	66.7	9	L	6-	14		-0.075
3/25	VIERA (3-3)	FL Dist-9	52.2		W	11-	9		0.225
3/29	BARTRAM TRAIL (12-6)	FL 3B Centrl	84.3		L	6-	19		0.000
4/01	at Vero Beach (13-6)	FL Dist-9	76.0	5	L	3-	15		0.000
			75.6						0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/13	H	Holy Trinity Episcopal	8-	7	1	6	––	-0.81	-4.64
2/15	H	Vero Beach	7-	17	-10	-12		-0.81	1.70
2/19	A	Saint Edwards	8-	5	3	-8	+++	0.81	10.73
2/21	A	Viera	15-	16	-1	0		0.81	-0.71
2/29	A	Melbourne Cent Cath	4-	15	-11	-9	–	0.81	-2.43
3/04	A	Vero Beach	2-	20	-18	-13	––	0.81	-4.68
3/06	H	Saint Edwards	3-	14	-11	-6	––	-0.81	-4.89
3/18	A	Holy Trinity Episcopal	12-	4	8	4	+	0.81	3.98
3/20	H	Melbourne Cent Cath	6-	14	-8	-7		-0.81	-1.05
3/25	H	Viera	11-	9	2	1		-0.81	0.67
3/29	H	Bartram Trail	6-	19	-13	-31	+++	-1.15		18.35
4/01	A	Vero Beach	3-	15	-12	-13		0.81	1.32
									0.00	18.35

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/15	H	Vero Beach	7-	17	-1.70
2/29	A	Melbourne Cent Cath	4-	15	1.00
3/04	A	Vero Beach	2-	20	4.68
3/06	H	Saint Edwards	3-	14	1.00
3/29	H	Bartram Trail	6-	19	18.35
4/01	A	Vero Beach	3-	15	-1.32
10-goal correction: -1.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	51.		Natl CCR Rank	2868
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	51.78		Natl Power Rank	2868
Natl SOS Rating	61.54		Natl SOS Rank	2282
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	648
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1972
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.7


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