SouthEast Guilford Falcons (15-5)

Region: NC 3A/2AState: NCCoach: Mark Goldsmith

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/29at Eastern Guilford (2-13)NC 3A/2A67.7W20- 2 0.000  
3/11at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)NC 3A/2A87.89L6-16 -0.100  
3/14FARRAGUT (5-9)TN 1 East79.8L5- 8 -0.325  
3/18at Bishop McGuinness (7-8)NC 3A/2A75.0W11-10 0.150  
3/20at Reagan (6-12)NC 3A/2A70.2W15- 5 0.000  
3/21R.J. REYNOLDS (9-8)NC 4A80.0L8- 9 -0.275  
4/01at SouthWest Guilford (13-8)NC 3A/2A75.5W11- 5 0.150  
4/02vs. NorthEast Guilford # (2-15)NC 3A/2A63.4W15- 5 0.000  
4/08REAGAN (6-12)NC 3A/2A70.2W21- 2 0.000  
4/09CEDAR RIDGE (11-7)NC 3A/2A78.2W6- 5ot0.125  
4/11BISHOP MCGUINNESS (7-8)NC 3A/2A75.0W15- 5 0.075  
4/15at NorthEast Guilford (2-15)NC 3A/2A63.4W12- 1 0.000  
4/16SOUTHWEST GUILFORD (13-8)NC 3A/2A75.5W16- 3 0.075  
4/18WILMINGTON HOGGARD (17-5)NC 4A88.08L6- 73ot-0.150  
4/21WESTERN ALAMANCE (10-8)NC 3A/2A78.8W9- 8 0.175  
4/23at Ragsdale-Jamestown (7-12)NC 3A/2A71.9W10- 5 0.100  
4/28CALDWELL ACADEMY (0-8)NC Privte73.4W16- 7 0.000  
5/01RAGSDALE-JAMESTOWN (7-12)NC 3A/2A71.9W15- 5 0.025  
5/09SOUTHWEST GUILFORD (13-8)NC 3A/2A75.5W9- 7 0.075  
5/14at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)NC 3A/2A87.89L8- 9ot-0.100  
# Neutral site 77.8     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/29AEastern Guilford20-218   12       ++1.35       5.69
3/11ACardinal Gibbons6-16-10   -6       ––1.35       -4.33
3/14HFarragut5-8-3   3       –––-1.34       -6.12
3/18ABishop McGuinness11-101   4       –1.35       -3.11
3/20AReagan15-510   10       1.35       0.25
3/21HR.J. Reynolds8-9-1   1       –-1.35       -2.46
4/01ASouthWest Guilford11-56   4       1.35       1.97
4/02NNorthEast Guilford15-510   17       –––0.00       -6.74
4/08HReagan21-219   12       +++-1.35       6.56
4/09HCedar Ridge6-51   5       –-1.35       -3.81
4/11HBishop McGuinness15-510   7       +-1.35       3.20
4/15ANorthEast Guilford12-111   15       ––1.35       -4.40
4/16HSouthWest Guilford16-313   7       +++-1.35       6.28
4/18HWilmington Hoggard6-7-1   -4       +-1.35       2.75
4/21HWestern Alamance9-81   3       -1.35       -1.77
4/23ARagsdale-Jamestown10-55   6       1.35       -1.17
4/28HCaldwell Academy16-79   10       -1.45       -0.66
5/01HRagsdale-Jamestown15-510   9       -1.35       1.14
5/09HSouthWest Guilford9-72   7       ––-1.35       -4.72
5/14ACardinal Gibbons8-9-1   -6       ++1.35       4.67
         0.00-6.78

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/29AEastern Guilford20-2-5.69
3/11ACardinal Gibbons6-160.00
3/20AReagan15-5-0.25
4/02NNorthEast Guilford15-56.74
4/08HReagan21-2-6.56
4/11HBishop McGuinness15-50.00
4/15ANorthEast Guilford12-14.40
4/16HSouthWest Guilford16-3-3.00
5/01HRagsdale-Jamestown15-50.00
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 1644
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 81.63   Natl Power Rank 1644
Natl SOS Rating 63.78   Natl SOS Rank 2096
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.00   Natl Quality Win Rank 1356
W-L Pct Rating 0.75   W-L Pct Rank 427
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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