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Serra Conquistadors (3-15)

Conference: D1

Region: CA City

State: CA

Coach: Dan Metoyer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/05	at Mount Carmel (6-10)	CA North	86.8		L	5-	6		-0.150
3/08	CANYON CREST (12-9)	CA Coastal	90.4		L	7-	15		-0.025
3/11	MONTE VISTA-SPG VALLEY (4-15)	CA Grosmnt	82.8		W	9-	3		0.250
3/26	at Valhalla (9-10)	CA Grosmnt	88.3		L	4-	17		-0.075
4/02	CORONADO (19-3)	CA City	95.7	2	L	2-	17		0.000
4/04	MOUNT CARMEL (6-10)	CA North	86.8		W	7-	6	2ot	0.325
4/09	TESORO (13-4)	CA SoCoast	88.3		L	5-	15		-0.150
4/11	PATRICK HENRY (14-5)	CA City	90.7		L	0-	1		-0.050
4/16	at La Jolla HS (11-8)	CA City	91.1	10	L	4-	12		0.000
4/18	at Bonita Vista (4-12)	CA Metro	80.1		W	12-	6		0.200
4/23	at Mira Mesa (2-12)	CA City	83.8		L	6-	12		-0.200
4/25	CATHEDRAL CATHOLIC (11-6)	CA City	91.3	9	L	3-	12		0.000
4/30	SCRIPPS RANCH (9-10)	CA City	87.7		L	4-	13		-0.175
5/02	at Coronado (19-3)	CA City	95.7	2	L	0-	1		0.000
5/07	LA JOLLA HS (11-8)	CA City	91.1	10	L	1-	15		0.000
5/09	at Patrick Henry (14-5)	CA City	90.7		L	0-	1		-0.050
5/12	GROSSMONT (14-2)	CA Grosmnt	91.8	6	L	0-	18		0.000
5/14	at Otay Ranch (16-4)	CA Metro	90.0		L	0-	1		-0.050
			83.3						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	A	Mount Carmel	5-	6	-1	-4	+	0.20	2.64
3/08	H	Canyon Crest	7-	15	-8	-9		-0.20	0.53
3/11	H	Monte Vista-Spg Valley	9-	3	6	0	++	-0.20	5.55
3/26	A	Valhalla	4-	17	-13	-7	–––	0.20	-6.22
4/02	H	Coronado	2-	17	-15	-19	+	-0.20	3.90
4/04	H	Mount Carmel	7-	6	1	-3	++	-0.20	4.24
4/09	H	Tesoro	5-	15	-10	-4	––	-0.70		-5.72
4/16	A	La Jolla HS	4-	12	-8	-12	+	0.20	3.84
4/18	A	Bonita Vista	12-	6	6	2	+	0.20	3.55
4/23	A	Mira Mesa	6-	12	-6	-2	––	0.20	-4.32
4/25	H	Cathedral Catholic	3-	12	-9	-10		-0.20	1.30
4/30	H	Scripps Ranch	4-	13	-9	-3	––	-0.20	-5.67
5/07	H	La Jolla HS	1-	15	-14	-11	–	-0.20	-2.56
5/12	H	Grossmont	0-	18	-18	-11	–––	-0.20	-6.78
									0.00	-5.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	A	Valhalla	4-	17	3.00
4/02	H	Coronado	2-	17	-3.90
4/09	H	Tesoro	5-	15	0.00
5/07	H	La Jolla HS	1-	15	2.56
5/12	H	Grossmont	0-	18	6.78
10-goal correction: 0.60

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1487
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.27		Natl Power Rank	1487
Natl SOS Rating	73.12		Natl SOS Rank	1141
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1731
W-L Pct Rating	0.17		W-L Pct Rank	2430
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-12		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-13.7


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