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Severn Admirals (11-10)

Region: MD A MIAAState: MDCoach: Brian Wood

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/11at Bullis (13-7)DC IAC91.7W7- 1 0.100  
3/18vs. St Stephen/St Agnes # (8-12)DC IAC91.2W6- 4 0.100  
3/20WESTERN RESERVE ACAD (16-3)OH 1 Indep99.0L5- 8 -0.200  
3/22at Landon (18-4)DC IAC98.77L4- 8 -0.225  
3/25at DeMatha (14-5)DC WCAC98.0L3-14 -0.150  
3/27MULLEN (10-7)CO Centenn92.8W7- 4 0.150  
3/28vs. Columbus St Charles # (6-10)OH 1 Reg 290.6W8- 0 0.125  
3/29at Broadneck (10-6)MD 43 East94.3W14- 4 0.250  
4/02CATONSVILLE (12-5)MD 43 South95.7W6- 5 0.225  
4/08at Boys' Latin (13-7)MD A MIAA97.68L6-12 -0.175  
4/11at Gilman (18-1)MD A MIAA99.91L10-14 -0.050  
4/15ST PAUL'S (7-10)MD A MIAA95.710W9- 8ot0.275  
4/18MCDONOGH (16-6)MD A MIAA99.05L3- 4 -0.200  
4/19vs. Calverton # (11-5)MD MILL88.8W15- 3 0.100  
4/19at South River (11-5)MD 43 East94.8W11- 7 0.275  
4/22FRIENDS (4-12)MD A MIAA87.5W21- 6 0.000  
4/26at Loyola-Blakefield (13-4)MD A MIAA99.53L11-15 -0.125  
4/29MOUNT ST JOSEPH (8-10)MD A MIAA94.0W14- 9 0.175  
5/02at Archbishop Spalding (9-8)MD A MIAA95.7L8-14 -0.250  
5/06CALVERT HALL (15-3)MD A MIAA99.52L6-12 -0.125  
5/09ST MARY'S ANNAPOLIS (13-6)MD A MIAA99.06L10-11ot-0.200  
# Neutral site 92.9     0.08  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11ABullis7-16   6       1.46       0.47
3/18NSt Stephen/St Agnes6-42   6       –0.00       -3.53
3/20HWestern Reserve Acad5-8-3   -2       -1.37       -0.65
3/22ALandon4-8-4   -1       –1.46       -2.67
3/25ADeMatha3-14-11   -4       –––1.59       -6.69
3/27HMullen7-43   4       -1.56       -1.00
3/28NColumbus St Charles8-08   5       +0.00       3.32
3/29ABroadneck14-410   0       +++1.19       10.17
4/02HCatonsville6-51   1       -1.19       0.23
4/08ABoys' Latin6-12-6   -3       –1.46       -2.75
4/11AGilman10-14-4   -8       +1.46       3.71
4/15HSt Paul's9-81   -1       -1.46       1.64
4/18HMcDonogh3-4-1   -2       -1.46       0.87
4/19NCalverton15-312   6       ++0.00       5.53
4/19ASouth River11-74   -1       ++1.19       4.73
4/22HFriends21-615   11       ++-1.46       4.23
4/26ALoyola-Blakefield11-15-4   -5       1.46       1.20
4/29HMount St Joseph14-95   3       -1.46       1.61
5/02AArchbishop Spalding8-14-6   0       ––1.46       -5.51
5/06HCalvert Hall6-12-6   -5       -1.46       -0.65
5/09HSt Mary's Annapolis10-11-1   -2       -1.46       1.38
         0.0015.66

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25ADeMatha3-141.00
3/29ABroadneck14-40.00
4/19NCalverton15-3-2.00
4/22HFriends21-6-4.23
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 247
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.28   Natl Power Rank 247
Natl SOS Rating 93.71   Natl SOS Rank 45
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.08   Natl Quality Win Rank 1057
W-L Pct Rating 0.52   W-L Pct Rank 1280
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.3

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