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Suffield HS Wildcats (10-8)

Conference: NWCIAC

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Matt Conway

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	LEWIS MILLS-BURLINGTON (8-9)	CT S	78.3		W	8-	2		0.000
4/08	EAST CATHOLIC (1-15)	CT S	71.9		W	14-	0		0.000
4/10	WINDSOR (10-8)	CT L	89.2		L	4-	12		-0.200
4/11	at Granby (12-7)	CT S	86.3		L	7-	8		-0.225
4/17	at Housatonic Valley (4-12)	CT S	78.5		W	12-	5		0.125
4/25	SOMERS (14-7)	CT S	89.7		L	5-	6		-0.200
4/30	at Fitch-Groton (5-10)	CT M	79.6		W	13-	5		0.125
5/06	at Avon HS (12-6)	CT M	90.3		L	9-	12		-0.125
5/07	NORWICH FREE ACADEMY (11-7)	CT L	88.5		L	11-	13		-0.225
5/10	STONINGTON (7-11)	CT S	83.3		W	12-	8		0.150
5/12	at Ellington (6-10)	CT S	79.5		W	11-	6		0.125
5/13	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (12-7)	CT S	90.5		L	7-	13		-0.175
5/15	at East Catholic (1-15)	CT S	71.9		W	14-	1		0.000
5/19	SOUTH WINDSOR (8-10)	CT L	85.2		W	9-	8	ot	0.200
5/20	TOLLAND (7-10)	CT S	81.6		W	11-	5		0.125
5/28	at Somers (14-7)	CT S	89.7		L	2-	8		-0.150
5/31	MORGAN-CLINTON (9-7)	CT S	85.4		W	13-	8		0.200
6/03	at New Fairfield (23-0)	CT S	97.5	2	L	7-	21		0.000
			78.3						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Lewis Mills-Burlington	8-	2	6	10	–	-1.20	-3.63
4/08	H	East Catholic	14-	0	14	13		-1.20	0.91
4/10	H	Windsor	4-	12	-8	-2	––	-1.20	-5.61
4/11	A	Granby	7-	8	-1	-1		1.20	-0.29
4/17	A	Housatonic Valley	12-	5	7	5		1.20	1.63
4/25	H	Somers	5-	6	-1	-2		-1.20	0.68
4/30	A	Fitch-Groton	13-	5	8	5	+	1.20	3.16
5/06	A	Avon HS	9-	12	-3	-5	+	1.20	2.37
5/07	H	Norwich Free Academy	11-	13	-2	-1		-1.20	-1.18
5/10	H	Stonington	12-	8	4	4		-1.20	0.35
5/12	A	Ellington	11-	6	5	5		1.20	0.13
5/13	H	Northwest Catholic	7-	13	-6	-3	–	-1.20	-2.86
5/15	A	East Catholic	14-	1	13	11	+	1.20	2.31
5/19	H	South Windsor	9-	8	1	2		-1.20	-0.97
5/20	H	Tolland	11-	5	6	5		-1.20	1.03
5/28	A	Somers	2-	8	-6	-4		1.20	-1.92
5/31	H	Morgan-Clinton	13-	8	5	2	+	-1.20	3.11
6/03	A	New Fairfield	7-	21	-14	-15		1.20	0.77
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	East Catholic	14-	0	-0.91
5/15	A	East Catholic	14-	1	-2.31
6/03	A	New Fairfield	7-	21	-0.77
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1265
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.62		Natl Power Rank	1265
Natl SOS Rating	64.67		Natl SOS Rank	2018
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	1942
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1124
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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