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Saugus Centurions (10-3)

Conference: D2

Region: CA Pacific

State: CA

Coach: Pat Campbell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/27	GOLDEN VALLEY (0-11)	CA Pacific	55.3		W	18-	1		0.000
3/01	at El Segundo (7-5)	CA Pacific	68.3		W	12-	2		0.075
3/16	vs. Wolf Valley LC # (7-1)	CA Orange	85.1	4	L	4-	16		-0.100
3/27	at Golden Valley (0-11)	CA Pacific	55.3		W	14-	3		0.000
3/29	SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (3-6)	CA Pacific	64.1		W	18-	8		0.000
4/05	at Braves LC (7-3)	CA Pacific	69.9		W	9-	0		0.075
4/17	GLENDALE (3-9)	CA Pacific	61.9		W	13-	3		0.000
4/20	vs. La Quinta # (5-3)	CA Orange	76.8		W	10-	7		0.250
4/27	at Agoura (13-2)	CA Conejo	87.5	2	L	6-	12		-0.050
5/03	SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (3-6)	CA Pacific	64.1		W	11-	5		0.000
5/10	WESTLAKE (4-7)	CA Conejo	76.9		L	6-	8		-0.225
5/17	EL SEGUNDO (7-5)	CA Pacific	68.3		W	14-	1		0.050
5/24	at Glendale (3-9)	CA Pacific	61.9		W	11-	3		0.000
# Neutral site			74.1						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Golden Valley	18-	1	17	15	+	-0.34	2.06
3/01	A	El Segundo	12-	2	10	7	+	0.34	2.51
3/16	N	Wolf Valley LC	4-	16	-12	-6	––	0.00	-5.61
3/27	A	Golden Valley	14-	3	11	14	–	0.34	-3.25
3/29	H	San Gabriel Valley	18-	8	10	10		-0.34	0.39
4/05	A	Braves LC	9-	0	9	7		0.34	1.98
4/17	H	Glendale	13-	3	10	11		-0.34	-1.15
4/20	N	La Quinta	10-	7	3	0	+	0.00	2.99
4/27	A	Agoura	6-	12	-6	-8	+	0.34	2.08
5/03	H	San Gabriel Valley	11-	5	6	10	–	-0.34	-3.61
5/10	H	Westlake	6-	8	-2	-1		-0.34	-0.74
5/17	H	El Segundo	14-	1	13	8	++	-0.34	4.82
5/24	A	Glendale	11-	3	8	10	–	0.34	-2.47
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/27	H	Golden Valley	18-	1	-2.06
3/01	A	El Segundo	12-	2	0.00
3/16	N	Wolf Valley LC	4-	16	2.00
3/27	A	Golden Valley	14-	3	3.25
3/29	H	San Gabriel Valley	18-	8	-0.39
4/17	H	Glendale	13-	3	1.15
5/17	H	El Segundo	14-	1	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	2005
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.43		Natl Power Rank	2005
Natl SOS Rating	57.46		Natl SOS Rank	2533
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1225
W-L Pct Rating	0.77		W-L Pct Rank	348
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.3

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