| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Scott Smith |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | H | Stamford | 11- | 8 | 3 | 2 | | -1.20 | 1.27 | |
4/07 | A | Notre Dame-West Haven | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 1.20 | 0.99 | |
4/14 | A | Xavier | 3- | 10 | -7 | -8 | | 1.20 | 1.10 | |
4/18 | H | Guilford | 0- | 12 | -12 | -7 | –– | -1.20 | -5.41 | |
4/22 | H | West Haven | 17- | 4 | 13 | 14 | | -1.20 | -1.18 | |
4/24 | A | North Haven | 9- | 7 | 2 | 2 | | 1.20 | 0.39 | |
4/26 | A | Westhill | 7- | 6 | 1 | -3 | ++ | 1.20 | 4.35 | |
5/01 | H | Trumbull | 5- | 16 | -11 | -4 | ––– | -1.20 | -6.57 | |
5/03 | A | West Haven | 17- | 3 | 14 | 12 | + | 1.20 | 2.22 | |
5/06 | A | Amity Regional | 4- | 12 | -8 | -9 | | 1.20 | 1.15 | |
5/08 | H | Hamden | 8- | 11 | -3 | -1 | – | -1.20 | -2.44 | |
5/10 | H | Masuk-Monroe | 4- | 7 | -3 | -5 | | -1.20 | 1.82 | |
5/12 | H | North Haven | 4- | 7 | -3 | 4 | ––– | -1.20 | -7.01 | |
5/16 | H | Fairfield-Ludlowe | 6- | 7 | -1 | -5 | ++ | -1.20 | 4.00 | |
5/19 | H | Notre Dame-West Haven | 7- | 6 | 1 | 2 | | -1.20 | -1.41 | |
5/29 | H | Westhill | 5- | 4 | 1 | -1 | | -1.20 | 1.95 | |
5/31 | A | Simsbury | 2- | 11 | -9 | -14 | ++ | 1.20 | 4.76 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/18 | H | Guilford | 0- | 12 | 2.00 |
4/22 | H | West Haven | 17- | 4 | 1.18 |
5/01 | H | Trumbull | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
5/03 | A | West Haven | 17- | 3 | -2.22 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.12 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 85. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1334 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.22 | | Natl Power Rank | 1334 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 67.87 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1685 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.32 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 828 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1461 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.3 |
| 
