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St Joseph Central Crusaders (14-6)

Conference: WestMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Scott Aitken

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Troy (3-15)	NY A Sec 2	73.1		W	15-	5		0.000
4/10	at Northampton (9-9)	MA 2	87.4	5	W	12-	9		0.325
4/15	BRATTLEBORO (4-12)	VT 1 MVLI	73.0		W	15-	3		0.000
4/18	at Cathedral Springfield (8-13)	MA 2	86.3	8	W	13-	7		0.225
4/19	at Wilbur Cross (2-14)	CT M	73.0		W	15-	2		0.000
4/22	at Agawam (7-13)	MA 2	85.3	10	L	7-	9		-0.275
4/26	WILBUR CROSS (2-14)	CT M	73.0		W	13-	2		0.000
4/30	at Westfield (16-5)	MA 2	90.8	3	L	9-	16		-0.100
5/02	at West Springfield (1-16)	MA 2	82.8		W	9-	4		0.100
5/03	COLONIE (15-5)	NY A Sec 2	92.8		L	10-	11	ot	-0.150
5/05	NORTHAMPTON (9-9)	MA 2	87.4	5	L	7-	13		-0.225
5/09	AGAWAM (7-13)	MA 2	85.3	10	W	12-	11	2ot	0.175
5/14	CATHEDRAL SPRINGFIELD (8-13)	MA 2	86.3	8	W	9-	6		0.175
5/17	at South Hadley (4-14)	MA 2	86.4	7	W	7-	6	2ot	0.300
5/19	WEST SPRINGFIELD (1-16)	MA 2	82.8		W	7-	2		0.025
5/21	at East Longmeadow (12-8)	MA 2	87.5	4	L	8-	11		-0.150
5/27	at Brattleboro (4-12)	VT 1 MVLI	73.0		W	17-	8		0.000
5/28	MT ANTHONY UNION (8-9)	VT 1 MVLI	81.7		W	12-	3		0.075
5/31	EAST LONGMEADOW (12-8)	MA 2	87.5	4	W	12-	8		0.275
6/03	vs. Longmeadow # (21-2)	MA 2	98.2	1	L	6-	23		0.000
# Neutral site			82.5						0.77

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Troy	15-	5	10	13	–	1.09		-3.22
4/10	A	Northampton	12-	9	3	-3	+++	1.21	6.22
4/15	H	Brattleboro	15-	3	12	15	–	-0.89		-3.32
4/18	A	Cathedral Springfield	13-	7	6	1	++	1.21	5.47
4/19	A	Wilbur Cross	15-	2	13	13		1.21		-0.20
4/22	A	Agawam	7-	9	-2	1	–	1.21	-2.57
4/26	H	Wilbur Cross	13-	2	11	16	––	-1.21		-4.61
4/30	A	Westfield	9-	16	-7	-6		1.21	-1.38
5/02	A	West Springfield	9-	4	5	6		1.21	-1.32
5/03	H	Colonie	10-	11	-1	-4	+	-1.09		3.28
5/05	H	Northampton	7-	13	-6	-1	––	-1.21	-5.20
5/09	H	Agawam	12-	11	1	3		-1.21	-1.99
5/14	H	Cathedral Springfield	9-	6	3	3		-1.21	0.04
5/17	A	South Hadley	7-	6	1	-2	+	1.21	2.55
5/19	H	West Springfield	7-	2	5	9	–	-1.21	-3.74
5/21	A	East Longmeadow	8-	11	-3	-4		1.21	0.65
5/27	A	Brattleboro	17-	8	9	14	––	0.89		-4.54
5/28	H	Mt Anthony Union	12-	3	9	7	+	-0.89		2.40
5/31	H	East Longmeadow	12-	8	4	-1	++	-1.21	5.23
6/03	N	Longmeadow	6-	23	-17	-13	–	0.00	-3.96
									0.00	-10.21

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Troy	15-	5	3.22
4/15	H	Brattleboro	15-	3	3.32
4/19	A	Wilbur Cross	15-	2	0.20
4/26	H	Wilbur Cross	13-	2	4.61
6/03	N	Longmeadow	6-	23	3.96
10-goal correction: 0.77

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	1024
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.40		Natl Power Rank	1024
Natl SOS Rating	72.69		Natl SOS Rank	1189
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.77		Natl Quality Win Rank	389
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	588
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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