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St Johns Prep Danvers Eagles (18-3)

Conference: Catholic

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: John Roy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		W	9-	6		0.050
4/08	at Catholic Memorial (6-10)	MA 2	92.9		W	12-	5		0.100
4/10	at Boston College HS (10-7)	MA 1	94.5		W	11-	6		0.150
4/15	WALTHAM (13-8)	MA 1	93.8		W	12-	6		0.100
4/18	at Xaverian Bros (16-6)	MA 1	96.3	5	L	5-	9		-0.225
4/19	HINGHAM (5-12)	MA 2	92.7		W	14-	13	ot	0.075
4/21	at Beverly (9-10)	MA 1	90.5		W	16-	3		0.000
4/24	BARNSTABLE (17-4)	MA 1	94.7		W	21-	5		0.075
4/26	at St Johns Shrewsbury (13-7)	MA 2	92.3		W	11-	8		0.175
4/29	at Malden Catholic (10-9)	MA 1	93.1		W	11-	7		0.100
5/01	CATHOLIC MEMORIAL (6-10)	MA 2	92.9		W	19-	5		0.050
5/03	at Duxbury (22-2)	MA 1	98.4	1	L	5-	7		-0.150
5/06	BOSTON COLLEGE HS (10-7)	MA 1	94.5		W	10-	9		0.100
5/12	XAVERIAN BROS (16-6)	MA 1	96.3	5	W	10-	9		0.200
5/15	MALDEN CATHOLIC (10-9)	MA 1	93.1		W	15-	5		0.025
5/17	CHELMSFORD (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		W	16-	6		0.050
5/19	NEWTON SOUTH (4-16)	MA 1	89.5		W	14-	0		0.000
5/21	MEDFIELD (21-4)	MA 2	96.1	6	W	7-	6	ot	0.175
6/01	CHELMSFORD (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		W	18-	1		0.050
6/05	ANDOVER HS (14-6)	MA 1	94.8	8	W	14-	13	ot	0.150
6/08	BILLERICA (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	L	9-	12		-0.275
			90.3						0.97

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Acton Boxborough	9-	6	3	8	––	-1.09	-4.78
4/08	A	Catholic Memorial	12-	5	7	6		1.09	0.86
4/10	A	Boston College HS	11-	6	5	4		1.09	1.05
4/15	H	Waltham	12-	6	6	6		-1.09	-0.29
4/18	A	Xaverian Bros	5-	9	-4	-1	–	1.09	-3.45
4/19	H	Hingham	14-	13	1	7	––	-1.09	-5.54
4/21	A	Beverly	16-	3	13	13		1.09	0.22
4/24	H	Barnstable	21-	5	16	7	+++	-1.09	8.85
4/26	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	11-	8	3	3		1.17		-0.06
4/29	A	Malden Catholic	11-	7	4	6	–	1.09	-2.33
5/01	H	Catholic Memorial	19-	5	14	8	++	-1.09	5.68
5/03	A	Duxbury	5-	7	-2	-4		1.09	1.94
5/06	H	Boston College HS	10-	9	1	6	––	-1.09	-5.13
5/12	H	Xaverian Bros	10-	9	1	2		-1.09	-0.63
5/15	H	Malden Catholic	15-	5	10	9		-1.09	1.49
5/17	H	Chelmsford	16-	6	10	8		-1.09	1.50
5/19	H	Newton South	14-	0	14	14		-1.09	0.35
5/21	H	Medfield	7-	6	1	3		-1.09	-1.51
6/01	H	Chelmsford	18-	1	17	8	+++	-1.09	8.50
6/05	H	Andover HS	14-	13	1	4	–	-1.09	-2.86
6/08	H	Billerica	9-	12	-3	1	–	-1.09	-3.93
									0.00	-0.06

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/21	A	Beverly	16-	3	-0.22
4/24	H	Barnstable	21-	5	-6.00
5/01	H	Catholic Memorial	19-	5	-4.00
5/15	H	Malden Catholic	15-	5	0.00
5/17	H	Chelmsford	16-	6	0.00
5/19	H	Newton South	14-	0	-0.35
6/01	H	Chelmsford	18-	1	-7.00
10-goal correction: -0.84

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	144
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.53		Natl Power Rank	143
Natl SOS Rating	87.24		Natl SOS Rank	181
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.97		Natl Quality Win Rank	258
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	140
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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