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San Marcos Knights (8-11)

Conference: D1

Region: CA North

State: CA

Coach: Mike Mathai

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	FOOTHILLS CHRISTIAN (13-7)	CA Grosmnt	88.4		W	13-	11		0.225
3/04	VALHALLA (9-10)	CA Grosmnt	88.3		W	12-	11	ot	0.300
3/07	FALLBROOK (4-16)	CA North	83.9		W	12-	11	ot	0.200
3/11	at Santana (10-10)	CA Grosmnt	86.4		W	9-	8		0.250
3/13	FRANCIS PARKER (4-12)	CA Coastal	86.2		W	7-	6		0.250
3/14	LAGUNA HILLS (12-6)	CA PaCoast	85.3		W	7-	5		0.175
3/18	HELIX CHARTER (1-11)	CA Grosmnt	80.5			-
4/01	SAN DIEGUITO (6-15)	CA Coastal	86.0		W	4-	3	ot	0.200
4/04	SCRIPPS RANCH (9-10)	CA City	87.7		L	5-	6		-0.275
4/08	LA JOLLA COU DAY (2-13)	CA Coastal	83.2		W	5-	4	ot	0.175
4/11	CARLSBAD (10-8)	CA North	89.2		L	3-	4		-0.175
4/15	POWAY (13-4)	CA North	94.7	3	L	2-	14		0.000
4/19	at La Costa Canyon (19-3)	CA North	97.8	1	L	2-	17		0.000
4/22	TORREY PINES (13-6)	CA North	93.4	5	L	2-	11		0.000
4/25	at Fallbrook (4-16)	CA North	83.9		L	5-	6		-0.300
4/29	RANCHO BERNARDO (9-8)	CA North	91.3	8	L	4-	14		-0.025
5/02	at Westview (11-7)	CA North	90.3		L	2-	6		-0.125
5/05	at Otay Ranch (16-4)	CA Metro	90.0		L	5-	7		-0.150
5/09	MOUNT CARMEL (6-10)	CA North	86.8		L	9-	10		-0.275
5/13	at Carlsbad (10-8)	CA North	89.2		L	7-	15		-0.175
			82.3						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	H	Foothills Christian	13-	11	2	1		-0.20	0.77
3/04	H	Valhalla	12-	11	1	-2	+	-0.20	3.25
3/07	H	Fallbrook	12-	11	1	2		-0.20	-1.20
3/11	A	Santana	9-	8	1	0		0.20	0.77
3/13	H	Francis Parker	7-	6	1	0		-0.20	0.59
3/14	H	Laguna Hills	7-	5	2	3		-0.70		-0.77
4/01	H	San Dieguito	4-	3	1	2		-0.20	-1.34
4/04	H	Scripps Ranch	5-	6	-1	1		-0.20	-1.80
4/08	H	La Jolla Cou Day	5-	4	1	3	–	-0.20	-2.01
4/11	H	Carlsbad	3-	4	-1	-3		-0.20	1.73
4/15	H	Poway	2-	14	-12	-13		-0.20	1.28
4/19	A	La Costa Canyon	2-	17	-15	-18	+	0.20	3.46
4/22	H	Torrey Pines	2-	11	-9	-11	+	-0.20	2.49
4/25	A	Fallbrook	5-	6	-1	2	–	0.20	-2.80
4/29	H	Rancho Bernardo	4-	14	-10	-9		-0.20	-1.09
5/02	A	Westview	2-	6	-4	-5		0.20	0.64
5/05	A	Otay Ranch	5-	7	-2	-4	+	0.20	2.00
5/09	H	Mount Carmel	9-	10	-1	1		-0.20	-1.89
5/13	A	Carlsbad	7-	15	-8	-3	––	0.20	-4.87
									0.00	-0.77

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	Poway	2-	14	-1.28
4/19	A	La Costa Canyon	2-	17	-3.46
4/29	H	Rancho Bernardo	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1038
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.40		Natl Power Rank	1038
Natl SOS Rating	71.31		Natl SOS Rank	1347
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	918
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1692
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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