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2009
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2006
2005

Seneca Valley Raiders (14-6)

Region: PA 1DNORTH

State: PA

Coach: Peter Hoffman

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Seneca Valley (PA) Looks to Move Championship West

The first year of the true Pennsylvania state championship game was 2000. Every year since, an eastern team has won the title. Now, it seems that the gap is closing between the East and the rest of the Keystone state. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/21	at Hill School (11-5)	PA Indep	96.1		L	10-	12	-0.200
3/22	at West Chester East (11-9)	PA Suburb	93.4		W	11-	2	0.250
3/29	WARWICK (17-6)	PA LL04	93.7		L	7-	9	-0.300
4/01	at Shady Side Academy (9-8)	PA 1DNORTH	91.8	5	W	13-	5	0.200
4/04	FRANKLIN REGIONAL (7-13)	PA 1DSOUTH	87.7	10	W	13-	2	0.075
4/05	PETERS TOWNSHIP (6-9)	PA 1DSOUTH	85.8		W	14-	5	0.050
4/09	at Mount Lebanon (15-6)	PA 1DSOUTH	94.4	3	L	4-	5	-0.250
4/16	at Pine Richland (11-7)	PA 1DNORTH	90.5	8	W	8-	3	0.175
4/18	at Hilliard Davidson (6-12)	OH 1 Reg 2	90.2		W	11-	5	0.175
4/19	at Dublin Jerome (14-6)	OH 1 Reg 2	97.0		W	11-	9	0.325
4/22	CENTRAL CATHOLIC (8-9)	PA 1DNORTH	90.3	9	W	9-	6	0.125
4/25	HAMPTON (7-11)	PA 1DSOUTH	84.7		W	14-	6	0.000
4/30	BETHEL PARK (11-5)	PA 1DSOUTH	91.2	6	W	7-	6	0.150
5/02	at Sewickley Academy (11-8)	PA 1DNORTH	92.2	4	L	8-	9	-0.275
5/03	CLEVELAND ST IGNATIUS (11-7)	OH 1 Reg 3	94.3		W	6-	5	0.200
5/09	at North Allegheny (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	95.8	1	L	3-	14	-0.200
5/17	at Upper St Clair (7-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	85.4		W	13-	5	0.100
5/21	at Sewickley Academy (11-8)	PA 1DNORTH	92.2	4	W	12-	6	0.225
5/28	vs. North Allegheny # (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	95.8	1	W	11-	10	0.275
5/31	vs. Mount Lebanon # (15-6)	PA 1DSOUTH	94.4	3	L	8-	9	-0.275
# Neutral site			90.9					0.83

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Hill School	10-	12	-2	-2		1.20		0.50
3/22	A	West Chester East	11-	2	9	0	+++	1.20		8.71
3/29	H	Warwick	7-	9	-2	2	–	-0.70		-3.88
4/01	A	Shady Side Academy	13-	5	8	2	+++	1.12	6.38
4/04	H	Franklin Regional	13-	2	11	7	+	-1.12	3.82
4/05	H	Peters Township	14-	5	9	8		-1.12	1.19
4/09	A	Mount Lebanon	4-	5	-1	0		1.12	-1.17
4/16	A	Pine Richland	8-	3	5	3		1.12	1.70
4/18	A	Hilliard Davidson	11-	5	6	3	+	1.20		2.57
4/19	A	Dublin Jerome	11-	9	2	-3	++	1.20		5.32
4/22	H	Central Catholic	9-	6	3	5		-1.12	-1.90
4/25	H	Hampton	14-	6	8	10		-1.12	-1.54
4/30	H	Bethel Park	7-	6	1	4	–	-1.12	-2.93
5/02	A	Sewickley Academy	8-	9	-1	1	–	1.12	-2.32
5/03	H	Cleveland St Ignatius	6-	5	1	2		-1.20		-0.71
5/09	A	North Allegheny	3-	14	-11	-2	–––	1.12	-9.18
5/17	A	Upper St Clair	13-	5	8	6		1.12	1.88
5/21	A	Sewickley Academy	12-	6	6	1	++	1.12	4.68
5/28	N	North Allegheny	11-	10	1	-1		0.00	1.70
5/31	N	Mount Lebanon	8-	9	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.30
									0.00	12.51

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	H	Franklin Regional	13-	2	-1.00
5/09	A	North Allegheny	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.	Natl CCR Rank	264
Natl Poll Vote	n/a	Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.84	Natl Power Rank	264
Natl SOS Rating	88.15	Natl SOS Rank	151
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.83	Natl Quality Win Rank	368
W-L Pct Rating	0.70	W-L Pct Rank	600
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-4	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-4	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0