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South Carroll Cavaliers (11-5)

Region: MD 21 West

State: MD

Coach: Bill McDermott

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	vs. Annapolis Area Christn # (7-10)	MD B MIAA	81.7		W	14-	7		0.000
3/22	vs. Marriott's Ridge # (12-5)	MD 21 West	94.1		L	9-	10		-0.300
3/25	THOMAS JOHNSON (6-10)	MD 43 North	87.3		W	17-	8		0.050
3/27	at Winters Mill (10-8)	MD 32 West	91.8		W	15-	10		0.150
3/28	MARRIOTT'S RIDGE (12-5)	MD 21 West	94.1		L	7-	8		-0.325
4/01	WESTMINSTER (11-5)	MD 43 North	94.8		L	10-	12		-0.250
4/03	at Smithsburg (9-6)	MD 21 West	89.1		W	17-	10		0.125
4/07	at Wilde Lake (4-9)	MD 32 South	85.5		W	14-	5		0.050
4/10	at Catoctin (3-11)	MD 21 West	78.5		W	20-	9		0.000
4/17	CENTURY (12-6)	MD 21 West	93.8		L	8-	9		-0.325
4/22	at Brunswick (2-11)	MD 21 West	80.4		W	15-	5		0.000
4/24	LIBERTY (6-8)	MD 21 West	88.8		W	15-	6		0.075
4/29	at Francis Scott Key (5-9)	MD 32 West	85.6		W	16-	4		0.050
5/05	at North Carroll (8-6)	MD 43 North	94.3		W	12-	8		0.275
5/10	at Smithsburg (9-6)	MD 21 West	89.1		W	19-	9		0.125
5/13	at Glenelg HS (18-0)	MD 21 West	96.9	4	L	9-	15		-0.200
# Neutral site			85.1						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Annapolis Area Christn	14-	7	7	13	––	0.00		-5.75
3/22	N	Marriott's Ridge	9-	10	-1	2	–	0.00	-3.22
3/25	H	Thomas Johnson	17-	8	9	8		-0.93	0.98
3/27	A	Winters Mill	15-	10	5	4		0.93	1.43
3/28	H	Marriott's Ridge	7-	8	-1	3	––	-0.93	-4.15
4/01	H	Westminster	10-	12	-2	0		-0.93	-1.75
4/03	A	Smithsburg	17-	10	7	5		0.93	1.84
4/07	A	Wilde Lake	14-	5	9	8		0.93	1.46
4/10	A	Catoctin	20-	9	11	14	–	0.93	-3.35
4/17	H	Century	8-	9	-1	3	––	-0.93	-4.09
4/22	A	Brunswick	15-	5	10	11		0.93	-1.42
4/24	H	Liberty	15-	6	9	7	+	-0.93	2.05
4/29	A	Francis Scott Key	16-	4	12	8	++	0.93	4.16
5/05	A	North Carroll	12-	8	4	-1	++	0.93	4.70
5/10	A	Smithsburg	19-	9	10	5	++	0.93	4.84
5/13	A	Glenelg HS	9-	15	-6	-2	–	0.93	-3.51
									0.00	-5.75

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Catoctin	20-	9	3.35
4/22	A	Brunswick	15-	5	1.42
4/29	A	Francis Scott Key	16-	4	-2.00
5/10	A	Smithsburg	19-	9	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	293
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.44		Natl Power Rank	293
Natl SOS Rating	76.76		Natl SOS Rank	795
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2319
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	620
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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