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Somers Spartans (14-7)

Conference: NWCIAC

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Ken McCarthy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Glastonbury (15-5)	CT L	94.9	10	L	2-	10		-0.050
4/05	at Immaculate Danbury (8-10)	CT S	85.5		L	4-	6		-0.300
4/08	at Granby (12-7)	CT S	86.3		W	6-	4		0.200
4/11	TOLLAND (7-10)	CT S	81.6		W	11-	4		0.050
4/17	AVON HS (12-6)	CT M	90.3		W	10-	8		0.250
4/19	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (12-7)	CT S	90.5		W	11-	10		0.250
4/22	SOUTH WINDSOR (8-10)	CT L	85.2		W	14-	4		0.125
4/25	at Suffield HS (10-8)	CT S	85.6		W	6-	5		0.200
4/30	NEWINGTON (3-13)	CT L	80.7		W	15-	1		0.050
5/01	at Conard-West Hartford (16-4)	CT M	94.5		L	4-	12		-0.100
5/05	at Hall-West Hartford (4-12)	CT L	84.6		L	6-	7		-0.275
5/08	OLD LYME (16-1)	CT S	95.1	9	L	4-	13		-0.100
5/13	FARMINGTON (11-7)	CT M	88.4		W	7-	4		0.200
5/15	at Ellington (6-10)	CT S	79.5		W	7-	6		0.050
5/20	HOUSATONIC VALLEY (4-12)	CT S	78.5		W	15-	2		0.000
5/22	at Windsor (10-8)	CT L	89.2		W	10-	7		0.300
5/28	SUFFIELD HS (10-8)	CT S	85.6		W	8-	2		0.150
5/29	AVON HS (12-6)	CT M	90.3		L	7-	9		-0.250
5/31	VALLEY REGIONAL (7-9)	CT S	78.0		W	12-	2		0.000
6/03	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (12-7)	CT S	90.5		W	8-	6		0.250
6/05	vs. Weston # (14-8)	CT S	92.4		L	3-	10		-0.150
# Neutral site			81.1						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Glastonbury	2-	10	-8	-8		1.20	0.41
4/05	A	Immaculate Danbury	4-	6	-2	2	––	1.20	-4.45
4/08	A	Granby	6-	4	2	2		1.20	-0.17
4/11	H	Tolland	11-	4	7	8		-1.20	-0.86
4/17	H	Avon HS	10-	8	2	0	+	-1.20	2.08
4/19	H	Northwest Catholic	11-	10	1	0		-1.20	1.26
4/22	H	South Windsor	14-	4	10	5	++	-1.20	5.15
4/25	A	Suffield HS	6-	5	1	2		1.20	-0.68
4/30	H	Newington	15-	1	14	8	+++	-1.20	6.38
5/01	A	Conard-West Hartford	4-	12	-8	-6	–	1.20	-2.43
5/05	A	Hall-West Hartford	6-	7	-1	1	–	1.20	-2.47
5/08	H	Old Lyme	4-	13	-9	-6	–	-1.20	-2.67
5/13	H	Farmington	7-	4	3	2		-1.20	0.70
5/15	A	Ellington	7-	6	1	8	–––	1.20	-6.75
5/20	H	Housatonic Valley	15-	2	13	11	+	-1.20	2.34
5/22	A	Windsor	10-	7	3	-2	++	1.20	4.91
5/28	H	Suffield HS	8-	2	6	4		-1.20	1.92
5/29	H	Avon HS	7-	9	-2	0		-1.20	-1.92
5/31	H	Valley Regional	12-	2	10	12		-1.20	-1.78
6/03	H	Northwest Catholic	8-	6	2	0	+	-1.20	2.26
6/05	N	Weston	3-	10	-7	-4	–	0.00	-3.26
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/22	H	South Windsor	14-	4	0.00
4/30	H	Newington	15-	1	-4.00
5/20	H	Housatonic Valley	15-	2	-2.34
5/31	H	Valley Regional	12-	2	1.78
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	751
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.65		Natl Power Rank	751
Natl SOS Rating	69.10		Natl SOS Rank	1567
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	330
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	677
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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