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St Peter Marian Guardians (12-8)

Conference: CentMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Vincent Jacques

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Algonquin (13-7)	MA 2	91.0	4	L	3-	6		-0.150
4/08	at Shrewsbury (19-4)	MA 2	91.6	3	L	6-	8		-0.150
4/09	ST JOHNS SHREWSBURY (13-7)	MA 2	92.0	2	L	5-	15		-0.100
4/15	GROTON-DUNSTABLE (7-9)	MA 2	86.6		W	8-	5		0.125
4/17	NORTHBRIDGE (13-7)	MA 2	88.7	8	W	13-	7		0.175
4/19	WACHUSETT (2-16)	MA 2	82.3		W	17-	3		0.050
4/21	at Wachusett (2-16)	MA 2	82.3		W	13-	2		0.125
4/23	ST BERNARD-FITCHBURG (8-10)	MA 2	88.3	9	W	13-	5		0.175
4/25	HOLY NAME CATH CENT (0-12)	MA 2	73.2		W	18-	1		0.000
4/29	WORCESTER COMBINED (0-16)	MA 2	73.4		W	20-	2		0.000
4/30	at Leominster (2-16)	MA 2	79.3		W	4-	1		0.025
5/02	at St Johns Shrewsbury (13-7)	MA 2	92.0	2	L	7-	12		-0.025
5/06	SHREWSBURY (19-4)	MA 2	91.6	3	L	4-	10		-0.200
5/08	LEOMINSTER (2-16)	MA 2	79.3		W	8-	1		0.000
5/10	at St Bernard-Fitchburg (8-10)	MA 2	88.3	9	L	8-	10		-0.275
5/12	at Worcester Combined (0-16)	MA 2	73.4		W	16-	0		0.000
5/13	at Groton-Dunstable (7-9)	MA 2	86.6		W	8-	5		0.175
5/15	at Northbridge (13-7)	MA 2	88.7	8	L	3-	4		-0.275
5/27	at Assabet Valley RVT (15-4)	MA 2	85.1		W	13-	3		0.175
5/31	at Westborough (17-3)	MA 2	93.0	1	L	2-	14		-0.075
			81.7						-0.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Algonquin	3-	6	-3	-4		1.25	1.11
4/08	A	Shrewsbury	6-	8	-2	-4	+	1.25	2.45
4/09	H	St Johns Shrewsbury	5-	15	-10	-6	–	-1.25	-3.83
4/15	H	Groton-Dunstable	8-	5	3	5	–	-1.25	-2.06
4/17	H	Northbridge	13-	7	6	3	+	-1.25	2.97
4/19	H	Wachusett	17-	3	14	8	+++	-1.25	6.24
4/21	A	Wachusett	13-	2	11	5	++	1.25	5.73
4/23	H	St Bernard-Fitchburg	13-	5	8	3	++	-1.25	4.52
4/25	H	Holy Name Cath Cent	18-	1	17	17		-1.25	-0.28
4/29	H	Worcester Combined	20-	2	18	17		-1.25	0.90
4/30	A	Leominster	4-	1	3	9	––	1.25	-5.71
5/02	A	St Johns Shrewsbury	7-	12	-5	-9	+	1.25	3.67
5/06	H	Shrewsbury	4-	10	-6	-2	––	-1.25	-4.04
5/08	H	Leominster	8-	1	7	11	––	-1.25	-4.20
5/10	A	St Bernard-Fitchburg	8-	10	-2	1	–	1.25	-2.98
5/12	A	Worcester Combined	16-	0	16	15		1.25	1.39
5/13	A	Groton-Dunstable	8-	5	3	3		1.25	0.43
5/15	A	Northbridge	3-	4	-1	1		1.25	-1.53
5/27	A	Assabet Valley RVT	13-	3	10	3	+++	1.17		7.28
5/31	A	Westborough	2-	14	-12	-7	––	1.25	-4.77
									0.00	7.28

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	St Johns Shrewsbury	5-	15	0.00
4/19	H	Wachusett	17-	3	-4.00
4/21	A	Wachusett	13-	2	-1.00
4/25	H	Holy Name Cath Cent	18-	1	0.28
4/29	H	Worcester Combined	20-	2	-0.90
5/12	A	Worcester Combined	16-	0	-1.39
5/27	A	Assabet Valley RVT	13-	3	0.00
5/31	A	Westborough	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	841
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.00		Natl Power Rank	841
Natl SOS Rating	70.67		Natl SOS Rank	1411
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	1840
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	932
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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