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San Rafael Bulldogs (5-12)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Marin

State: CA

Coach: Jarred Metoyer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/14	at Marin Academy (3-13)	CA BayArea	72.3		W	9-	4		0.050
3/06	BELLA VISTA (7-12)	CA SanJoq	84.4		L	3-	5		-0.225
3/14	GRANADA (4-16)	CA EastBay	80.4		L	9-	10		-0.300
3/20	at Davis (11-6)	CA BayShor	90.5		L	2-	9		-0.075
3/24	at Lick-Wilmerding (12-5)	CA BayArea	86.6		L	1-	2		-0.175
3/26	REDWOOD (11-8)	CA Marin	92.1	9	L	2-	14		0.000
3/28	GRANITE BAY (16-4)	CA SanJoq	90.3		L	4-	10		-0.125
4/02	at Tamalpais (7-12)	CA Marin	84.9		W	11-	10	ot	0.325
4/04	BRANSON (9-7)	CA Marin	88.4		L	10-	11		-0.150
4/08	at Robert L Stevenson (15-3)	CA SCCAL	91.5	10	L	3-	9		-0.075
4/09	at York School (4-7)	CA SCCAL	73.8		W	8-	1		0.100
4/16	at Marin Catholic (11-10)	CA Marin	91.3		L	0-	16		0.000
4/18	at Novato (18-4)	CA Marin	93.0	6	L	5-	13		0.000
4/23	TERRA LINDA (2-10)	CA Marin	79.4		W	5-	4		0.200
4/25	at San Marin (4-12)	CA Marin	83.7		L	3-	8		-0.175
4/28	SERRA-SAN MATEO (7-7)	CA PAL	85.3		W	8-	3		0.275
5/02	SIR FRANCIS DRAKE (6-6)	CA Marin	85.0		L	5-	6	ot	-0.250
			79.3						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/14	A	Marin Academy	9-	4	5	8	–	0.66	-3.09
3/06	H	Bella Vista	3-	5	-2	-1		-0.66	-1.10
3/14	H	Granada	9-	10	-1	2	–	-0.66	-2.96
3/20	A	Davis	2-	9	-7	-7		0.66	0.24
3/24	A	Lick-Wilmerding	1-	2	-1	-3		0.66	1.57
3/26	H	Redwood	2-	14	-12	-10		-0.66	-1.98
3/28	H	Granite Bay	4-	10	-6	-5		-0.66	-0.87
4/02	A	Tamalpais	11-	10	1	-3	++	0.66	4.29
4/04	H	Branson	10-	11	-1	-4	+	-0.66	3.39
4/08	A	Robert L Stevenson	3-	9	-6	-7		0.66	1.47
4/09	A	York School	8-	1	7	6		0.66	0.73
4/16	A	Marin Catholic	0-	16	-16	-10	–––	0.66	-6.25
4/18	A	Novato	5-	13	-8	-11	+	0.66	3.09
4/23	H	Terra Linda	5-	4	1	2		-0.66	-1.43
4/25	A	San Marin	3-	8	-5	-3	–	0.66	-2.08
4/28	H	Serra-San Mateo	8-	3	5	-1	+++	-0.66	6.36
5/02	H	Sir Francis Drake	5-	6	-1	0		-0.66	-1.38
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Redwood	2-	14	2.00
4/16	A	Marin Catholic	0-	16	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.47

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1618
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.57		Natl Power Rank	1618
Natl SOS Rating	65.54		Natl SOS Rank	1926
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	2462
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	2104
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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