High School Computer Ratings

St Rose Belmar Purple Roses (2-15)

Conference: Shore

Region: NJ Grp-B

State: NJ

Coach: Mark Cebulski

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Score			COR
4/02	at Manasquan (10-7)	NJ Grp-I	92.1	L	4-	16	0.000
4/05	EDISON (7-11)	NJ Grp-IV	86.3	L	9-	10	-0.150
4/10	at Red Bank Regional (14-3)	NJ Grp-II	96.6	L	3-	16	0.000
4/12	WALL TOWNSHIP (12-6)	NJ Grp-II	91.2	L	7-	17	-0.050
4/16	RED BANK CATHOLIC (15-3)	NJ Grp-A	96.9	L	7-	18	0.000
4/18	at Howell (11-6)	NJ Grp-IV	91.4	L	9-	18	0.000
4/19	OLD BRIDGE (7-12)	NJ Grp-IV	86.9	L	5-	18	-0.075
4/21	TOMS RIVER EAST (15-4)	NJ Grp-III	93.1	L	5-	16	-0.050
4/24	at Rumson-Fair Haven (12-4)	NJ Grp-I	94.8	L	4-	16	0.000
4/29	ST JOHN VIANNEY (1-17)	NJ Grp-A	69.6	W	19-	3	0.125
5/02	at Freehold Township (7-8)	NJ Grp-IV	86.8	L	6-	14	-0.075
5/03	at Monsignor Donovan (10-5)	NJ Grp-A	91.2	L	8-	17	0.000
5/05	TOMS RIVER SOUTH (8-8)	NJ Grp-III	87.5	L	5-	12	-0.125
5/07	at Jackson Liberty (2-14)	NJ Grp-I	69.1	W	7-	6	0.200
5/10	NORTH BRUNSWICK (9-10)	NJ Grp-III	90.0	L	16-	27	-0.075
5/17	at Toms River North (8-6)	NJ Grp-IV	89.6	L	9-	20	-0.025
5/20	SOUTHERN REGIONAL (8-8)	NJ Grp-IV	85.3	L	13-	16	-0.150
			78.8				-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Manasquan	4-	16	-12	-12		1.37	-0.22
4/05	H	Edison	9-	10	-1	-4	+	-1.37	3.14
4/10	A	Red Bank Regional	3-	16	-13	-16	+	1.37	2.52
4/12	H	Wall Township	7-	17	-10	-8	–	-1.37	-2.38
4/16	H	Red Bank Catholic	7-	18	-11	-12		-1.37	0.95
4/18	A	Howell	9-	18	-9	-10		1.37	1.12
4/19	H	Old Bridge	5-	18	-13	-7	––	-1.37	-5.91
4/21	H	Toms River East	5-	16	-11	-8	–	-1.37	-3.08
4/24	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	4-	16	-12	-13		1.37	1.13
4/29	H	St John Vianney	19-	3	16	5	+++	-1.37	10.91
5/02	A	Freehold Township	6-	14	-8	-7		1.37	-0.82
5/03	A	Monsignor Donovan	8-	17	-9	-10		1.37	0.79
5/05	H	Toms River South	5-	12	-7	-5	–	-1.37	-2.34
5/07	A	Jackson Liberty	7-	6	1	2		1.37	-1.37
5/10	H	North Brunswick	16-	27	-11	-7	–	-1.37	-3.73
5/17	A	Toms River North	9-	20	-11	-9		1.37	-1.97
5/20	H	Southern Regional	13-	16	-3	-4		-1.37	1.25
									0.00	0.00