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St Rose Belmar Purple Roses (2-15)

Conference: Shore

Region: NJ Grp-B

State: NJ

Coach: Mark Cebulski

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Manasquan (10-7)	NJ Grp-I	92.1		L	4-	16		0.000
4/05	EDISON (7-11)	NJ Grp-IV	86.3		L	9-	10		-0.150
4/10	at Red Bank Regional (14-3)	NJ Grp-II	96.6		L	3-	16		0.000
4/12	WALL TOWNSHIP (12-6)	NJ Grp-II	91.2		L	7-	17		-0.050
4/16	RED BANK CATHOLIC (15-3)	NJ Grp-A	96.9		L	7-	18		0.000
4/18	at Howell (11-6)	NJ Grp-IV	91.4		L	9-	18		0.000
4/19	OLD BRIDGE (7-12)	NJ Grp-IV	86.9		L	5-	18		-0.075
4/21	TOMS RIVER EAST (15-4)	NJ Grp-III	93.1		L	5-	16		-0.050
4/24	at Rumson-Fair Haven (12-4)	NJ Grp-I	94.8		L	4-	16		0.000
4/29	ST JOHN VIANNEY (1-17)	NJ Grp-A	69.6		W	19-	3		0.125
5/02	at Freehold Township (7-8)	NJ Grp-IV	86.8		L	6-	14		-0.075
5/03	at Monsignor Donovan (10-5)	NJ Grp-A	91.2		L	8-	17		0.000
5/05	TOMS RIVER SOUTH (8-8)	NJ Grp-III	87.5		L	5-	12		-0.125
5/07	at Jackson Liberty (2-14)	NJ Grp-I	69.1		W	7-	6		0.200
5/10	NORTH BRUNSWICK (9-10)	NJ Grp-III	90.0		L	16-	27		-0.075
5/17	at Toms River North (8-6)	NJ Grp-IV	89.6		L	9-	20		-0.025
5/20	SOUTHERN REGIONAL (8-8)	NJ Grp-IV	85.3		L	13-	16		-0.150
			78.8						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Manasquan	4-	16	-12	-12		1.37	-0.22
4/05	H	Edison	9-	10	-1	-4	+	-1.37	3.14
4/10	A	Red Bank Regional	3-	16	-13	-16	+	1.37	2.52
4/12	H	Wall Township	7-	17	-10	-8	–	-1.37	-2.38
4/16	H	Red Bank Catholic	7-	18	-11	-12		-1.37	0.95
4/18	A	Howell	9-	18	-9	-10		1.37	1.12
4/19	H	Old Bridge	5-	18	-13	-7	––	-1.37	-5.91
4/21	H	Toms River East	5-	16	-11	-8	–	-1.37	-3.08
4/24	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	4-	16	-12	-13		1.37	1.13
4/29	H	St John Vianney	19-	3	16	5	+++	-1.37	10.91
5/02	A	Freehold Township	6-	14	-8	-7		1.37	-0.82
5/03	A	Monsignor Donovan	8-	17	-9	-10		1.37	0.79
5/05	H	Toms River South	5-	12	-7	-5	–	-1.37	-2.34
5/07	A	Jackson Liberty	7-	6	1	2		1.37	-1.37
5/10	H	North Brunswick	16-	27	-11	-7	–	-1.37	-3.73
5/17	A	Toms River North	9-	20	-11	-9		1.37	-1.97
5/20	H	Southern Regional	13-	16	-3	-4		-1.37	1.25
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Manasquan	4-	16	0.22
4/10	A	Red Bank Regional	3-	16	-2.52
4/12	H	Wall Township	7-	17	0.00
4/16	H	Red Bank Catholic	7-	18	-0.95
4/19	H	Old Bridge	5-	18	3.00
4/21	H	Toms River East	5-	16	1.00
4/24	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	4-	16	-1.13
4/29	H	St John Vianney	19-	3	-6.00
5/10	H	North Brunswick	16-	27	1.00
5/17	A	Toms River North	9-	20	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2346
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.11		Natl Power Rank	2346
Natl SOS Rating	65.15		Natl SOS Rank	1963
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2285
W-L Pct Rating	0.12		W-L Pct Rank	2562
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.3


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