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Salmon River Shamrocks (16-1)

Region: NY C Sec 10

State: NY

Coach: Dave White

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Colton-Pierrepont (0-12)	NY C Sec 10	62.1	9	W	20-	2		0.000
4/04	at Heuvelton Central (3-16)	NY B Sec 10	74.0	7	W	19-	8		0.000
4/08	at Canton Central (11-7)	NY C Sec 10	87.4	2	W	18-	14		0.175
4/22	ST LAWRENCE CENTRAL (9-9)	NY C Sec 10	79.1	4	W	19-	10		0.000
4/24	at Potsdam (11-6)	NY C Sec 10	82.9	3	W	16-	8		0.050
4/29	MASSENA (9-12)	NY B Sec 10	78.7	5	W	21-	7		0.000
5/01	SARANAC LAKE (9-7)	NY C Sec 10	78.0	6	W	21-	3		0.000
5/06	COLTON-PIERREPONT (0-12)	NY C Sec 10	62.1	9	W	19-	0		0.000
5/08	HEUVELTON CENTRAL (3-16)	NY B Sec 10	74.0	7	W	24-	13		0.000
5/13	CANTON CENTRAL (11-7)	NY C Sec 10	87.4	2	W	20-	11		0.125
5/15	at St Lawrence Central (9-9)	NY C Sec 10	79.1	4	W	19-	13		0.025
5/16	vs. Watertown IHC # (11-9)	NY C Sec 3	92.0		W	22-	10		0.225
5/20	POTSDAM (11-6)	NY C Sec 10	82.9	3	W	20-	12		0.025
5/22	at Massena (9-12)	NY B Sec 10	78.7	5	W	22-	14		0.000
5/30	vs. Canton Central # (11-7)	NY C Sec 10	87.4	2	W	16-	12		0.150
6/04	vs. Massena # (9-12)	NY B Sec 10	78.7	5	W	16-	3		0.000
6/07	vs. Skaneateles # (17-6)	NY C Sec 3	96.3		L	14-	15		-0.175
# Neutral site			83.4						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Colton-Pierrepont	20-	2	18	21	–	0.86	-3.48
4/04	A	Heuvelton Central	19-	8	11	11		0.86	0.47
4/08	A	Canton Central	18-	14	4	3		0.86	0.81
4/22	H	St Lawrence Central	19-	10	9	11		-0.86	-1.52
4/24	A	Potsdam	16-	8	8	8		0.86	0.29
4/29	H	Massena	21-	7	14	11	+	-0.86	2.51
5/01	H	Saranac Lake	21-	3	18	12	++	-0.86	5.98
5/06	H	Colton-Pierrepont	19-	0	19	23	––	-0.86	-4.21
5/08	H	Heuvelton Central	24-	13	11	12		-0.86	-1.25
5/13	H	Canton Central	20-	11	9	5	++	-0.86	4.09
5/15	A	St Lawrence Central	19-	13	6	9	–	0.86	-2.80
5/16	N	Watertown IHC	22-	10	12	1	+++	0.00		11.18
5/20	H	Potsdam	20-	12	8	9		-0.86	-1.43
5/22	A	Massena	22-	14	8	10		0.86	-1.77
5/30	N	Canton Central	16-	12	4	4		0.00	-0.05
6/04	N	Massena	16-	3	13	11	+	0.00	2.37
6/07	N	Skaneateles	14-	15	-1	-3	+	0.00		2.45
									0.00	13.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Colton-Pierrepont	20-	2	3.48
4/04	A	Heuvelton Central	19-	8	-0.47
4/29	H	Massena	21-	7	-2.51
5/01	H	Saranac Lake	21-	3	-5.98
5/06	H	Colton-Pierrepont	19-	0	4.20
5/08	H	Heuvelton Central	24-	13	1.25
5/16	N	Watertown IHC	22-	10	-2.00
6/04	N	Massena	16-	3	-2.37
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	448
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.80		Natl Power Rank	448
Natl SOS Rating	74.44		Natl SOS Rank	1016
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	540
W-L Pct Rating	0.94		W-L Pct Rank	44
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	10.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	10-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	8.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	15-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	10.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	15-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	10.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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