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Serra-San Mateo Padres (7-7)

Conference: D1

Region: CA PAL

State: CA

Coach: Jud Taube

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/05	at Leland (2-14)	CA PAL	73.7		W	21-	3		0.050
3/10	at Bishop O'Dowd (9-8)	CA BayShor	89.2		L	3-	4		-0.150
3/12	at Burlingame (7-6)	CA PAL	85.6		W	1-	0		0.300
3/17	SACRED HEART PREP (8-7)	CA PAL	81.5		W	9-	3		0.100
3/19	LELAND (2-14)	CA PAL	73.7		W	7-	1		0.000
3/31	MENLO-ATHERTON (8-5)	CA PAL	89.6		L	4-	11		-0.175
4/02	at Menlo School (9-10)	CA PAL	89.2		L	5-	9		-0.100
4/03	at Pacific Grove (9-5)	CA SCCAL	82.0		W	13-	8		0.150
4/07	at Woodside (1-9)	CA PAL	75.2		W	5-	2		0.075
4/09	at Bellarmine Prep (17-5)	CA PAL	93.3	5	L	2-	13		0.000
4/16	at Menlo-Atherton (8-5)	CA PAL	89.6		W	8-	7	ot	0.375
4/23	MENLO SCHOOL (9-10)	CA PAL	89.2		L	1-	4		-0.125
4/28	at San Rafael (5-12)	CA Marin	82.5		L	3-	8		-0.275
4/30	BELLARMINE PREP (17-5)	CA PAL	93.3	5	L	2-	13		-0.050
			78.7						0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	A	Leland	21-	3	18	8	+++	0.66	9.60
3/10	A	Bishop O'Dowd	3-	4	-1	-4	+	0.66	2.74
3/17	H	Sacred Heart Prep	9-	3	6	6		-0.66	-0.08
3/19	H	Leland	7-	1	6	10	–	-0.66	-3.72
3/31	H	Menlo-Atherton	4-	11	-7	-3	–	-0.66	-3.79
4/02	A	Menlo School	5-	9	-4	-6		0.66	1.99
4/03	A	Pacific Grove	13-	8	5	4		0.66	0.79
4/07	A	Woodside	5-	2	3	7	––	0.66	-4.06
4/09	A	Bellarmine Prep	2-	13	-11	-10		0.66	-1.50
4/16	A	Menlo-Atherton	8-	7	1	-5	++	0.66	5.53
4/23	H	Menlo School	1-	4	-3	-5		-0.66	1.67
4/28	A	San Rafael	3-	8	-5	1	–––	0.66	-6.36
4/30	H	Bellarmine Prep	2-	13	-11	-8	–	-0.66	-2.81
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	A	Leland	21-	3	-8.00
4/09	A	Bellarmine Prep	2-	13	1.00
4/30	H	Bellarmine Prep	2-	13	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.46

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1372
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.25		Natl Power Rank	1372
Natl SOS Rating	65.07		Natl SOS Rank	1977
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1055
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1290
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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