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St Anthony's Friars (15-4)

Region: NY Cath

State: NY

Coach: Keith Wieczorek

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	vs. Loyola-Blakefield # (13-4)	MD A MIAA	99.5		L	5-	15		-0.225
3/15	vs. Penn Charter # (16-12)	PA IAC	97.1		W	14-	11		0.200
3/26	at Kellenberg (6-11)	NY Cath	88.3	5	W	15-	6		0.000
3/29	FARMINGDALE (11-6)	NY A Sec 8	97.2		W	14-	9		0.200
4/01	at St Mary's (3-12)	NY Cath	81.5	6	W	18-	3		0.000
4/03	at Chaminade (14-4)	NY Cath	99.2	1	L	6-	7		-0.275
4/05	HOLY TRINITY (14-7)	NY Cath	94.2	3	W	18-	8		0.100
4/08	at St John Baptist (7-10)	NY Cath	89.3	4	W	10-	3		0.050
4/10	YORKTOWN (20-4)	NY A Sec 1	99.1		L	9-	14		-0.250
4/12	at John Jay-Cross River (18-6)	NY B Sec 1	99.2		W	16-	12		0.275
4/19	at Fairfield Prep (19-4)	CT L	97.4		W	12-	9		0.225
4/26	at Delbarton (18-4)	NJ Grp-A	98.9		W	8-	3		0.275
5/01	KELLENBERG (6-11)	NY Cath	88.3	5	W	18-	4		0.000
5/03	vs. Wilton # (12-8)	CT M	95.6		W	10-	9		0.175
5/07	at Holy Trinity (14-7)	NY Cath	94.2	3	W	14-	10		0.100
5/13	CHAMINADE (14-4)	NY Cath	99.2	1	W	11-	8		0.225
5/15	ST JOHN BAPTIST (7-10)	NY Cath	89.3	4	W	14-	9		0.050
5/20	ST JOHN BAPTIST (7-10)	NY Cath	89.3	4	W	14-	6		0.050
5/22	vs. Chaminade # (14-4)	NY Cath	99.2	1	L	11-	12	ot	-0.275
# Neutral site			93.9						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	N	Loyola-Blakefield	5-	15	-10	-1	–––	0.00		-9.49
3/15	N	Penn Charter	14-	11	3	2		0.00		1.18
3/26	A	Kellenberg	15-	6	9	10		0.01	-0.94
3/29	H	Farmingdale	14-	9	5	2	+	-0.34		2.90
4/01	A	St Mary's	18-	3	15	15		0.01	0.47
4/03	A	Chaminade	6-	7	-1	1	–	0.01	-2.19
4/05	H	Holy Trinity	18-	8	10	6	++	-0.01	4.32
4/08	A	St John Baptist	10-	3	7	8		0.01	-0.86
4/10	H	Yorktown	9-	14	-5	0	––	-0.55		-5.42
4/12	A	John Jay-Cross River	16-	12	4	-1	++	0.55		4.81
4/19	A	Fairfield Prep	12-	9	3	1	+	0.61		2.02
4/26	A	Delbarton	8-	3	5	-1	++	0.69		5.67
5/01	H	Kellenberg	18-	4	14	10	++	-0.01	4.04
5/03	N	Wilton	10-	9	1	3	–	0.00		-2.30
5/07	A	Holy Trinity	14-	10	4	6		0.01	-1.66
5/13	H	Chaminade	11-	8	3	1		-0.01	1.79
5/15	H	St John Baptist	14-	9	5	8	–	-0.01	-2.88
5/20	H	St John Baptist	14-	6	8	8		-0.01	0.12
5/22	N	Chaminade	11-	12	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.20
									0.00	-0.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	N	Loyola-Blakefield	5-	15	0.00
4/01	A	St Mary's	18-	3	-0.47
4/05	H	Holy Trinity	18-	8	0.00
5/01	H	Kellenberg	18-	4	-4.04
10-goal correction: -0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	196.		Natl CCR Rank	22
Natl Poll Vote	97.		Natl Poll Rank	24
Natl Power Rating	98.94		Natl Power Rank	15
Natl SOS Rating	95.98		Natl SOS Rank	17
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	391
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	293
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	5.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	9-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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