| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Scott Mitchell |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
3/14 | at Washington-Lee (9-8) | VA Nationl | 83.7 | | W | 15- | 9 | | 0.275 |
3/27 | FALLS CHURCH (11-3) | VA Nationl | 89.4 | | L | 12- | 13 | | -0.225 |
3/28 | at Loudoun Valley (15-6) | VA Cedar | 88.7 | | L | 4- | 15 | | -0.075 |
3/31 | at Marshall (0-12) | VA Liberty | 78.1 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.200 |
4/08 | THOS JEFFERSON (4-10) | VA Liberty | 87.0 | | L | 6- | 14 | | -0.175 |
4/10 | at Langley (12-4) | VA Liberty | 95.4 | 2 | L | 0- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at Woodson (9-7) | VA Liberty | 93.4 | 8 | L | 3- | 18 | | 0.000 |
4/16 | at Heritage-Leesburg (14-3) | VA Dulles | 87.5 | | L | 6- | 19 | | -0.125 |
4/17 | SOUTH LAKES (6-7) | VA Liberty | 87.7 | | L | 7- | 13 | | -0.175 |
4/23 | MADISON (10-5) | VA Liberty | 94.2 | 4 | L | 8- | 21 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | MCLEAN (6-6) | VA Liberty | 89.1 | | L | 10- | 16 | | -0.175 |
4/30 | at Herndon (5-9) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.350 |
5/01 | WAKEFIELD HS (0-12) | VA Nationl | 64.6 | | W | 22- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | at Madison (10-5) | VA Liberty | 94.2 | 4 | L | 4- | 21 | | 0.000 |
| | 85.8 | | | | | | -0.12 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/14 | A | Washington-Lee | 15- | 9 | 6 | -1 | +++ | 1.02 | 7.38 | |
3/27 | H | Falls Church | 12- | 13 | -1 | -1 | | -1.02 | 0.14 | |
3/28 | A | Loudoun Valley | 4- | 15 | -11 | -7 | | 1.43 | | -4.30 |
3/31 | A | Marshall | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | | 1.02 | 1.97 | |
4/08 | H | Thos Jefferson | 6- | 14 | -8 | -3 | | -1.02 | -4.94 | |
4/10 | A | Langley | 0- | 16 | -16 | -14 | | 1.02 | -1.51 | |
4/14 | A | Woodson | 3- | 18 | -15 | -12 | | 1.02 | -2.76 | |
4/16 | A | Heritage-Leesburg | 6- | 19 | -13 | -5 | | 1.27 | | -7.65 |
4/17 | H | South Lakes | 7- | 13 | -6 | -3 | | -1.02 | -2.93 | |
4/23 | H | Madison | 8- | 21 | -13 | -12 | | -1.02 | -1.48 | |
4/24 | H | McLean | 10- | 16 | -6 | -3 | | -1.02 | -2.70 | |
4/30 | A | Herndon | 8- | 6 | 2 | -4 | ++ | 1.02 | 5.72 | |
5/01 | H | Wakefield HS | 22- | 1 | 21 | 16 | ++ | -1.02 | 4.53 | |
5/05 | A | Madison | 4- | 21 | -17 | -14 | | 1.02 | -3.43 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -11.94 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/28 | A | Loudoun Valley | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/10 | A | Langley | 0- | 16 | 1.51 |
4/14 | A | Woodson | 3- | 18 | 2.76 |
4/16 | A | Heritage-Leesburg | 6- | 19 | 3.00 |
4/23 | H | Madison | 8- | 21 | 1.48 |
5/01 | H | Wakefield HS | 22- | 1 | -4.53 |
5/05 | A | Madison | 4- | 21 | 3.43 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.62 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 83. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1505 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 83.38 | | Natl Power Rank | 1505 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 78.05 | | Natl SOS Rank | 667 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.12 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1620 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.29 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2152 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -15.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -15.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.0 |
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