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Stevenson Patriots (10-11)

Region: IL NorSubState: ILCoach: Brian Larsen

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/24vs. Lyons Township # (21-1)IL WesSub97.01L3-10 -0.075  
3/24vs. Saint Viator # (16-5)IL MidSub89.8L9-10 -0.250  
4/03at Lake Forest (13-7)IL NorSub91.36L8-11 -0.125  
4/05at Neuqua Valley (2-14)IL DuPage279.9W11- 3 0.075  
4/07VERNON HILLS (3-13)IL NorSub74.0W11- 0 0.000  
4/15FREMD (8-7)IL MidSub85.1W5- 3 0.150  
4/16at Grayslake North (7-12)IL NorSub79.8W17- 3 0.075  
4/18LOYOLA ACADEMY (17-6)IL CenSub94.43L2-12 -0.150  
4/19at Libertyville (13-7)IL NorSub91.17L3-14 -0.100  
4/22LYONS TOWNSHIP (21-1)IL WesSub97.01L2-11 -0.100  
4/26ST CHARLES (14-5)IL DuPage292.75L3- 8 -0.175  
4/28at Grayslake Central (4-13)IL NorSub80.4W14- 4 0.075  
4/29at Glenbrook North (18-2)IL CenSub94.44L6- 7ot-0.075  
5/01LAKE FOREST (13-7)IL NorSub91.36L6- 7 -0.200  
5/03BARRINGTON (7-12)IL MidSub85.5W11- 6 0.175  
5/06at Highland Park (1-15)IL CenSub79.6W10- 4 0.125  
5/10EVANSTON TOWNSHIP (9-12)IL CenSub87.0W9- 5 0.200  
5/13LIBERTYVILLE (13-7)IL NorSub91.17L6-12 -0.175  
5/15at Glenbrook South (2-15)IL CenSub80.0W13- 8 0.125  
5/20CONANT (2-12)IL MidSub78.8W14- 2 0.000  
5/22at Libertyville (13-7)IL NorSub91.17L2- 9 -0.100  
# Neutral site 88.8     -0.53  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24NLyons Township3-10-7   -7       0.00       0.16
3/24NSaint Viator9-10-1   0       0.00       -0.96
4/03ALake Forest8-11-3   -5       1.07       1.62
4/05ANeuqua Valley11-38   7       1.07       1.15
4/07HVernon Hills11-011   15       ––-1.07       -4.08
4/15HFremd5-32   4       –-1.07       -2.01
4/16AGrayslake North17-314   7       +++1.07       6.99
4/18HLoyola Academy2-12-10   -4       ––-1.07       -5.79
4/19ALibertyville3-14-11   -6       ––1.07       -5.43
4/22HLyons Township2-11-9   -6       –-1.07       -2.90
4/26HSt Charles3-8-5   -3       –-1.07       -2.07
4/28AGrayslake Central14-410   7       +1.07       3.26
4/29AGlenbrook North6-7-1   -7       ++1.07       5.93
5/01HLake Forest6-7-1   -2       -1.07       1.48
5/03HBarrington11-65   3       +-1.07       2.24
5/06AHighland Park10-46   5       1.07       0.54
5/10HEvanston Township9-54   2       -1.07       1.98
5/13HLibertyville6-12-6   -3       –-1.07       -2.56
5/15AGlenbrook South13-85   5       1.07       -0.50
5/20HConant14-212   10       +-1.07       2.34
5/22ALibertyville2-9-7   -6       1.07       -1.43
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/07HVernon Hills11-04.08
4/16AGrayslake North17-3-4.00
4/18HLoyola Academy2-120.00
4/19ALibertyville3-141.00
4/28AGrayslake Central14-40.00
5/20HConant14-2-2.34
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1085
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.12   Natl Power Rank 1085
Natl SOS Rating 84.47   Natl SOS Rank 271
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.53   Natl Quality Win Rank 2374
W-L Pct Rating 0.48   W-L Pct Rank 1433
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-10   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-11   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.3



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