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St Luke's Crusaders (10-7)

Region: NE 2 FAA

State: CT

Coach: Kevin Butler

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	HUN SCHOOL (11-9)	NJ Private	94.3		L	2-	11		-0.075
3/31	HORACE MANN (8-9)	NY Ivy	82.4		W	13-	7		0.125
4/02	at Hopkins School (13-1)	NE 2 FAA	93.2	1	L	7-	11		-0.125
4/09	at South Kent (9-6)	NE 2 West	82.1		W	14-	5		0.100
4/12	GUNNERY (6-12)	NE 2 West	85.1	9	W	7-	6	ot	0.225
4/15	at Portledge (14-4)	NY MLA	89.5		L	11-	12		-0.175
4/16	at Cheshire Academy (0-11)	NE 2 West	73.9		W	13-	3		0.000
4/21	KINGSWOOD-OXFORD (12-7)	NE 2 FAA	88.5	5	L	2-	8		-0.225
4/23	at Hamden Hall (5-10)	NE 2 FAA	78.0		W	15-	2		0.000
4/29	KING-LOW/HEYWOOD THOS (11-8)	NE 2 FAA	84.0		W	7-	6		0.150
5/02	at New York Mil Academy (2-11)	NE 3 West	69.1		W	15-	1		0.000
5/03	CHOATE (7-8)	NE 1 West	92.2		L	2-	11		-0.125
5/07	CANTERBURY (10-5)	NE 2 West	92.3	2	L	7-	10		-0.100
5/10	at Rye Country Day (8-10)	NE 2 FAA	85.8	8	W	13-	4		0.200
5/12	MASTERS DOBBS FERRY (2-11)	NY MLA	73.1		W	16-	1		0.000
5/14	GREENS FARMS ACADEMY (8-6)	NE 2 FAA	82.3		W	10-	3		0.075
5/21	vs. Hyde-Bath # (6-8)	NE North	87.6		L	11-	18		-0.225
# Neutral site			83.2						-0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Hun School	2-	11	-9	-7	–	-0.69		-2.38
3/31	H	Horace Mann	13-	7	6	5		-0.90		0.55
4/02	A	Hopkins School	7-	11	-4	-5		0.01	0.55
4/09	A	South Kent	14-	5	9	6	+	0.01	2.73
4/12	H	Gunnery	7-	6	1	1		-0.01	0.31
4/15	A	Portledge	11-	12	-1	-3	+	0.90		2.46
4/16	A	Cheshire Academy	13-	3	10	12		0.01	-1.82
4/21	H	Kingswood-Oxford	2-	8	-6	-1	––	-0.01	-5.01
4/23	A	Hamden Hall	15-	2	13	11	+	0.01	2.38
4/29	H	King-Low/Heywood Thos	7-	6	1	4	–	-0.01	-3.02
5/02	A	New York Mil Academy	15-	1	14	20	––	0.01	-5.93
5/03	H	Choate	2-	11	-9	-5	–	-0.16		-3.97
5/07	H	Canterbury	7-	10	-3	-6	+	-0.01	2.59
5/10	A	Rye Country Day	13-	4	9	2	+++	0.01	7.08
5/12	H	Masters Dobbs Ferry	16-	1	15	15		-0.90		0.24
5/14	H	Greens Farms Academy	10-	3	7	7		-0.01	0.12
5/21	N	Hyde-Bath	11-	18	-7	-1	–––	0.00		-6.42
									0.00	-9.51

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	A	Cheshire Academy	13-	3	1.82
4/23	A	Hamden Hall	15-	2	-2.38
5/02	A	New York Mil Academy	15-	1	5.93
5/12	H	Masters Dobbs Ferry	16-	1	-0.24
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1068
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.97		Natl Power Rank	1068
Natl SOS Rating	73.42		Natl SOS Rank	1111
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1857
W-L Pct Rating	0.59		W-L Pct Rank	984
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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