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St Mary's Annapolis Saints (13-6)

Region: MD A MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Matt Hogan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	ST ALBANS (16-5)	DC IAC	94.9	10	W	5-	3		0.075
3/14	vs. Highland Park # (17-3)	TX 1 North	96.8		W	13-	6		0.200
3/15	vs. Episcopal Dallas # (16-5)	TX 1 North	92.9		W	15-	5		0.125
3/18	ST MARYS RYKEN (11-7)	DC WCAC	93.9		W	10-	2		0.100
3/20	LANDON (18-4)	DC IAC	97.8	7	W	15-	4		0.125
3/25	vs. Fairview # (8-9)	CO Centenn	89.4		W	17-	4		0.025
3/27	vs. Nease # (13-5)	FL 3B Centrl	92.0		W	16-	3		0.100
4/01	at DeMatha (14-5)	DC WCAC	97.1		W	15-	8		0.250
4/04	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (9-8)	MD A MIAA	94.3		W	17-	5		0.100
4/08	at Calvert Hall (15-3)	MD A MIAA	98.9	2	L	8-	13		-0.150
4/11	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (8-10)	MD A MIAA	92.9		W	18-	8		0.075
4/15	at Boys' Latin (13-7)	MD A MIAA	96.9	8	L	9-	10		-0.275
4/18	LOYOLA-BLAKEFIELD (12-4)	MD A MIAA	98.5	3	L	4-	5		-0.300
4/22	ST PAUL'S (7-10)	MD A MIAA	95.0	9	W	11-	8		0.175
4/29	at Friends (4-12)	MD A MIAA	86.8		W	17-	6		0.000
5/02	at Gilman (18-0)	MD A MIAA	99.8	1	L	10-	12		-0.150
5/06	MCDONOGH (16-6)	MD A MIAA	98.4	4	L	4-	6		-0.300
5/09	at Severn (11-10)	MD A MIAA	94.2		W	11-	10	ot	0.200
5/13	at McDonogh (16-6)	MD A MIAA	98.4	4	L	5-	6	ot	-0.225
# Neutral site			93.5						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	St Albans	5-	3	2	7	––	-1.47	-4.96
3/14	N	Highland Park	13-	6	7	2	++	0.00		5.50
3/15	N	Episcopal Dallas	15-	5	10	5	++	0.00		4.60
3/18	H	St Marys Ryken	10-	2	8	6	+	-1.62		2.05
3/20	H	Landon	15-	4	11	5	++	-1.47	5.58
3/25	N	Fairview	17-	4	13	9	++	0.00		4.14
3/27	N	Nease	16-	3	13	6	+++	0.00		6.75
4/01	A	DeMatha	15-	8	7	0	+++	1.62		7.42
4/04	H	Archbishop Spalding	17-	5	12	6	++	-1.47	5.73
4/08	A	Calvert Hall	8-	13	-5	-4		1.47	-0.59
4/11	H	Mount St Joseph	18-	8	10	7	+	-1.47	2.77
4/15	A	Boys' Latin	9-	10	-1	1		1.47	-1.57
4/18	H	Loyola-Blakefield	4-	5	-1	2	–	-1.47	-2.85
4/22	H	St Paul's	11-	8	3	3		-1.47	-0.20
4/29	A	Friends	17-	6	11	12		1.47	-0.69
5/02	A	Gilman	10-	12	-2	-4	+	1.47	2.13
5/06	H	McDonogh	4-	6	-2	2	–	-1.47	-3.96
5/09	A	Severn	11-	10	1	2		1.47	-1.35
5/13	A	McDonogh	5-	6	-1	-1		1.47	-0.03
									0.00	30.46

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	N	Episcopal Dallas	15-	5	0.00
3/20	H	Landon	15-	4	-1.00
3/25	N	Fairview	17-	4	-3.00
3/27	N	Nease	16-	3	-3.00
4/04	H	Archbishop Spalding	17-	5	-2.00
4/11	H	Mount St Joseph	18-	8	0.00
4/29	A	Friends	17-	6	0.69
10-goal correction: -0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	98.		Natl CCR Rank	34
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	98.25		Natl Power Rank	34
Natl SOS Rating	95.79		Natl SOS Rank	20
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1047
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	700
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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