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Susquehannock Warriors (19-1)

Region: PA York 1

State: PA

Coach: Russ LeBlanc

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/18	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	W	8-	7		0.150
3/19	SOUTH-EASTERN (3-7)	PA York 1	78.8		W	19-	0		0.000
3/25	at Carlisle (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	W	8-	2		0.100
4/01	at FCA Lacrosse (6-4)	MD Indep	78.0		W	23-	3		0.000
4/03	YORK CATHOLIC (2-12)	PA York 1	76.5		W	11-	1		0.000
4/05	at Northern York Red (4-9)	PA York 1	76.7		W	25-	4		0.000
4/08	RED LION (9-7)	PA York 1	85.2		W	13-	6		0.025
4/15	SOUTH-WESTERN (11-6)	PA York 1	88.9	9	W	15-	9		0.050
4/17	at York Suburban (6-8)	PA York 1	81.2		W	16-	4		0.000
4/24	at Central York (8-7)	PA York 1	83.7		W	17-	4		0.000
4/29	at Spring Grove (10-6)	PA York 1	83.9		W	20-	5		0.000
4/30	at Lampeter-Strasburg (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	W	13-	9		0.175
5/01	PENN MANOR (12-9)	PA LL04	89.5	8	W	13-	7		0.075
5/06	at Conestoga Valley (4-15)	PA LL04	82.1		W	15-	2		0.000
5/08	at Dallastown (6-7)	PA York 1	81.5		W	20-	4		0.000
5/14	CENTRAL YORK (8-7)	PA York 1	83.7		W	17-	4		0.000
5/21	SOUTH-WESTERN (11-6)	PA York 1	88.9	9	W	19-	4		0.050
5/28	NORTHERN YORK BLACK (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.2		W	17-	4		0.000
5/29	vs. Spring Grove # (10-6)	PA York 1	83.9		W	1-	0		0.000
5/30	vs. Hempfield # (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	L	7-	11		-0.275
# Neutral site			85.0						0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	H	Cumberland Valley	8-	7	1	4	–	-0.28	-2.61
3/19	H	South-Eastern	19-	0	19	16	+	-0.28	2.55
3/25	A	Carlisle	8-	2	6	6		0.28	-0.28
4/01	A	FCA Lacrosse	23-	3	20	17	+	1.01		3.18
4/03	H	York Catholic	11-	1	10	18	–––	-0.28	-7.54
4/05	A	Northern York Red	25-	4	21	17	+	0.28	3.75
4/08	H	Red Lion	13-	6	7	9	–	-0.28	-2.05
4/15	H	South-Western	15-	9	6	8		-0.28	-1.77
4/17	A	York Suburban	16-	4	12	14		0.28	-1.95
4/24	A	Central York	17-	4	13	13		0.28	0.46
4/29	A	Spring Grove	20-	5	15	12	+	0.28	2.50
4/30	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	13-	9	4	3		0.28	0.65
5/01	H	Penn Manor	13-	7	6	7		-0.28	-0.59
5/06	A	Conestoga Valley	15-	2	13	12		0.28	1.02
5/08	A	Dallastown	20-	4	16	15		0.28	1.18
5/14	H	Central York	17-	4	13	13		-0.28	-0.11
5/21	H	South-Western	19-	4	15	8	+++	-0.28	7.23
5/28	H	Northern York Black	17-	4	13	10	+	-0.28	2.69
5/30	N	Hempfield	7-	11	-4	1	––	0.00	-5.13
									0.00	3.18

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/19	H	South-Eastern	19-	0	-2.55
4/01	A	FCA Lacrosse	23-	3	-3.18
4/03	H	York Catholic	11-	1	7.54
4/05	A	Northern York Red	25-	4	-3.75
4/17	A	York Suburban	16-	4	1.95
4/24	A	Central York	17-	4	-0.46
4/29	A	Spring Grove	20-	5	-2.50
5/06	A	Conestoga Valley	15-	2	-1.02
5/08	A	Dallastown	20-	4	-1.18
5/14	H	Central York	17-	4	0.11
5/21	H	South-Western	19-	4	-5.00
5/28	H	Northern York Black	17-	4	-2.69
10-goal correction: -0.67

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	193
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.85		Natl Power Rank	193
Natl SOS Rating	76.76		Natl SOS Rank	797
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	796
W-L Pct Rating	0.95		W-L Pct Rank	33
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	10.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.0


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