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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Severna Park Falcons (16-3)

Region: MD 43 EastState: MDCoach: Larry Kramer

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/25NORTH COUNTY (3-12)MD 43 East83.6W17- 3 0.000  
3/28GONZAGA (15-6)DC WCAC93.6W12- 7 0.150  
3/29BULLIS (13-7)DC IAC91.7W4- 1 0.100  
4/01at NorthEast AA (11-6)MD 32 East92.5W19- 5 0.100  
4/03at Arundel (6-7)MD 43 East90.9W11- 4 0.125  
4/05vs. DeMatha # (14-5)DC WCAC98.0L5- 9 -0.200  
4/08ANNAPOLIS (9-7)MD 32 East93.4W10- 4 0.100  
4/11CHESAPEAKE-AA (4-11)MD 43 East86.7W16- 7 0.000  
4/15at Southern AA (10-7)MD 21 East92.4W12- 8 0.125  
4/19at Broadneck (10-6)MD 43 East94.2L3- 6 -0.300  
4/22at Glen Burnie (1-11)MD 43 East76.3W23- 2 0.000  
4/25MEADE (1-12)MD 43 East76.3W17- 0 0.000  
4/29at Old Mill (7-9)MD 43 East88.6W13- 4 0.050  
5/02SOUTH RIVER (11-5)MD 43 East94.7W11- 5 0.150  
5/06SOUTH RIVER (11-5)MD 43 East94.7W10- 7 0.150  
5/10OLD MILL (7-9)MD 43 East88.6W12- 4 0.000  
5/13SOUTH RIVER (11-5)MD 43 East94.7W10- 7 0.150  
5/14at Leonardtown (15-2)MD 43 East96.06W11-10 0.250  
5/17vs. Urbana # (16-2)MD 43 North97.42L6-12 -0.150  
# Neutral site 87.3     0.80  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25HNorth County17-314   14       -0.93       -0.14
3/28HGonzaga12-75   4       -1.33       1.05
3/29HBullis4-13   6       -1.19       -2.70
4/01ANorthEast AA19-514   6       +++0.93       8.31
4/03AArundel11-47   5       0.93       1.79
4/05NDeMatha5-9-4   -2       0.00       -2.17
4/08HAnnapolis10-46   6       -0.93       0.44
4/11HChesapeake-AA16-79   11       -0.93       -1.54
4/15ASouthern AA12-84   5       0.93       -0.62
4/19ABroadneck3-6-3   2       ––0.93       -4.74
4/22AGlen Burnie23-221   19       +0.93       2.01
4/25HMeade17-017   20       -0.93       -2.98
4/29AOld Mill13-49   8       0.93       0.79
5/02HSouth River11-56   4       -0.93       1.85
5/06HSouth River10-73   4       -0.93       -1.15
5/10HOld Mill12-48   10       -0.93       -2.07
5/13HSouth River10-73   4       -0.93       -1.15
5/14ALeonardtown11-101   0       0.93       0.96
5/17NUrbana6-12-6   -4       0.00       -1.76
         0.00-3.83

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25HNorth County17-30.14
4/01ANorthEast AA19-5-4.00
4/22AGlen Burnie23-2-2.01
4/25HMeade17-02.98
10-goal correction: -0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 96.   Natl CCR Rank 171
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.17   Natl Power Rank 170
Natl SOS Rating 81.27   Natl SOS Rank 446
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.80   Natl Quality Win Rank 376
W-L Pct Rating 0.84   W-L Pct Rank 167
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.7



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