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Swartz Creek Dragons (6-11)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	at Grand Blanc (4-12)	MI 1	79.8		L	2-	5		-0.100
4/10	at Davison (10-6)	MI 2	85.2		L	2-	10		0.000
4/15	at Ypsilanti (2-13)	MI 2	71.3		W	13-	1		0.100
4/18	BAY CITY CENTRAL (5-7)	MI 2	80.8		L	4-	11		-0.175
4/19	YPSILANTI (2-13)	MI 2	71.3		W	15-	0		0.025
4/21	at Lapeer West (7-3)	MI 2	80.9		L	1-	10		-0.150
4/24	at Midland (7-9)	MI 4 Club	81.8		L	4-	11		-0.075
4/28	WALLED LAKE CENTRAL (2-14)	MI 1	74.8		W	5-	4		0.175
4/30	at Heritage-Saginaw (2-12)	MI 2	71.4		W	5-	0		0.150
5/01	LAPEER WEST (7-3)	MI 2	80.9		L	3-	6		-0.225
5/06	GRAND BLANC (4-12)	MI 1	79.8		L	3-	8		-0.175
5/08	DAVISON (10-6)	MI 2	85.2		L	1-	7		-0.050
5/10	at Oxford (1-7)	MI 4 Club	73.2		W	10-	1		0.200
5/13	at Bay City Central (5-7)	MI 2	80.8		L	2-	6		-0.100
5/15	EAST LANSING (1-12)	MI 2	78.5		L	4-	9		-0.200
5/21	HERITAGE-SAGINAW (2-12)	MI 2	71.4		W	8-	3		0.075
5/22	at Walled Lake Central (2-14)	MI 1	74.8		L	6-	10		-0.250
			67.9						-0.78

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	A	Grand Blanc	2-	5	-3	-6	+	1.42	2.79
4/10	A	Davison	2-	10	-8	-11	+	1.42	2.52
4/15	A	Ypsilanti	13-	1	12	6	+++	1.42	6.18
4/18	H	Bay City Central	4-	11	-7	-3	––	-1.42	-4.02
4/19	H	Ypsilanti	15-	0	15	9	+++	-1.42	6.33
4/21	A	Lapeer West	1-	10	-9	-4	––	1.42	-5.09
4/24	A	Midland	4-	11	-7	-7		0.92		-0.32
4/28	H	Walled Lake Central	5-	4	1	3		-1.42	-1.51
4/30	A	Heritage-Saginaw	5-	0	5	4		1.42	1.29
5/01	H	Lapeer West	3-	6	-3	-1		-1.42	-1.94
5/06	H	Grand Blanc	3-	8	-5	-3	–	-1.42	-2.05
5/08	H	Davison	1-	7	-6	-8		-1.42	1.67
5/10	A	Oxford	10-	1	9	2	+++	0.92		7.06
5/13	A	Bay City Central	2-	6	-4	-6		1.42	1.83
5/15	H	East Lansing	4-	9	-5	-2	–	-1.42	-2.79
5/21	H	Heritage-Saginaw	8-	3	5	7		-1.42	-1.55
5/22	A	Walled Lake Central	6-	10	-4	0	–	1.42	-3.66
									0.00	6.74

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	A	Ypsilanti	13-	1	-2.00
4/19	H	Ypsilanti	15-	0	-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	2186
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.02		Natl Power Rank	2186
Natl SOS Rating	48.54		Natl SOS Rank	2811
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.78		Natl Quality Win Rank	2636
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1939
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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