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South-Western Mustangs (11-6)

Region: PA York 1State: PACoach: T.J. Buchanan

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/16LAFAYETTE (13-8)MO Patrt-191.7W12- 8 0.300  
3/25at York Suburban (6-8)PA York 181.2W14- 4 0.100  
3/29at Chambersburg (13-6)PA Mid 188.210L7- 8 -0.250  
4/08YORK CATHOLIC (2-12)PA York 176.5W15- 4 0.000  
4/10at Northern York Red (4-9)PA York 176.7W11- 5 0.000  
4/12PENN MANOR (12-9)PA LL0489.58L11-12ot-0.225  
4/15at Susquehannock (19-1)PA York 195.81L9-15 -0.050  
4/17DALLASTOWN (6-7)PA York 181.5W14- 3 0.050  
4/19PALMYRA (9-9)PA Mid 183.1W10- 6 0.125  
4/24SOUTH-EASTERN (3-7)PA York 178.8W17- 8 0.025  
5/01at Spring Grove (10-6)PA York 183.9L13-14ot-0.375  
5/03at Lampeter-Strasburg (18-7)PA LL0491.76W11- 8 0.350  
5/06at Central York (8-7)PA York 183.7W12- 7 0.125  
5/08RED LION (9-7)PA York 185.2W11- 7 0.200  
5/14RED LION (9-7)PA York 185.2W9- 6 0.200  
5/21at Susquehannock (19-1)PA York 195.81L4-19 -0.050  
5/23WARWICK (17-6)PA LL0493.43L5-10 -0.150  
 86.3     0.37  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/16HLafayette12-84   -2       +++-0.53       6.20
3/25AYork Suburban14-410   6       +0.28       3.54
3/29AChambersburg7-8-1   0       0.28       -0.96
4/08HYork Catholic15-411   10       -0.28       0.94
4/10ANorthern York Red11-56   10       –0.28       -3.77
4/12HPenn Manor11-12-1   -1       -0.28       -0.11
4/15ASusquehannock9-15-6   -8       0.28       1.77
4/17HDallastown14-311   8       +-0.28       3.10
4/19HPalmyra10-64   5       -0.28       -1.05
4/24HSouth-Eastern17-89   9       -0.28       0.04
5/01ASpring Grove13-14-1   5       –––0.28       -6.01
5/03ALampeter-Strasburg11-83   -4       +++0.28       7.13
5/06ACentral York12-75   5       0.28       -0.06
5/08HRed Lion11-74   2       +-0.28       2.43
5/14HRed Lion9-63   2       -0.28       1.43
5/21ASusquehannock4-19-15   -8       –––0.28       -7.23
5/23HWarwick5-10-5   -4       -0.28       -1.20
         0.006.20

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25AYork Suburban14-40.00
4/08HYork Catholic15-4-0.94
4/17HDallastown14-3-1.00
5/21ASusquehannock4-195.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 89.   Natl CCR Rank 824
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 88.92   Natl Power Rank 824
Natl SOS Rating 78.74   Natl SOS Rank 623
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.37   Natl Quality Win Rank 766
W-L Pct Rating 0.65   W-L Pct Rank 789
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.7



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