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Shrewsbury Colonials (19-4)

Conference: CentMassRegion: MA 2State: MACoach: Nate Skermont

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/02MARLBOROUGH (3-14)MA 277.9W17- 3 0.000  
4/05at Wachusett (2-16)MA 282.3W13- 2 0.050  
4/08ST PETER MARIAN (12-8)MA 289.07W8- 6 0.150  
4/10NORTHBRIDGE (13-7)MA 288.78W13- 4 0.100  
4/15at Worcester Combined (0-16)MA 273.4W15- 0 0.000  
4/17GROTON-DUNSTABLE (7-9)MA 286.6W13- 4 0.050  
4/19NIPMUC REGIONAL (8-11)MA 283.8W17- 6 0.000  
4/22ST JOHNS SHREWSBURY (13-7)MA 292.02L7- 9 -0.175  
4/24at Northampton (9-9)MA 287.6W8- 5 0.175  
5/01at Algonquin (13-7)MA 291.04L5- 7 -0.225  
5/05at Grafton (16-6)MA 289.16W11- 9 0.175  
5/06at St Peter Marian (12-8)MA 289.07W10- 4 0.200  
5/08at Northbridge (13-7)MA 288.78W8- 3 0.150  
5/12NORTHAMPTON (9-9)MA 287.6L3- 43ot-0.375  
5/13WORCESTER COMBINED (0-16)MA 273.4W17- 0 0.000  
5/15at Groton-Dunstable (7-9)MA 286.6W8- 3 0.100  
5/17WACHUSETT (2-16)MA 282.3W10- 3 0.000  
5/18at Leominster (2-16)MA 279.3W4- 3ot0.000  
5/20LEOMINSTER (2-16)MA 279.3W16- 0 0.000  
5/22GRAFTON (16-6)MA 289.16W11- 2 0.125  
6/01NORTHBRIDGE (13-7)MA 288.78W17- 6 0.100  
6/04vs. St Johns Shrewsbury # (13-7)MA 292.02W7- 6ot0.350  
6/08vs. Westborough # (17-3)MA 293.01L6- 72ot-0.175  
# Neutral site 82.4     0.77  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02HMarlborough17-314   17       –-1.25       -2.86
4/05AWachusett13-211   8       +1.25       2.53
4/08HSt Peter Marian8-62   4       –-1.25       -2.45
4/10HNorthbridge13-49   6       +-1.25       2.77
4/15AWorcester Combined15-015   18       –1.25       -2.81
4/17HGroton-Dunstable13-49   8       -1.25       0.73
4/19HNipmuc Regional17-611   11       -1.25       -0.43
4/22HSt Johns Shrewsbury7-9-2   -3       -1.25       0.97
4/24ANorthampton8-53   3       1.23       0.25
5/01AAlgonquin5-7-2   -1       1.25       -1.09
5/05AGrafton11-92   3       1.25       -0.79
5/06ASt Peter Marian10-46   2       ++1.25       4.04
5/08ANorthbridge8-35   4       1.25       1.26
5/12HNorthampton3-4-1   5       –––-1.23       -6.21
5/13HWorcester Combined17-017   20       –-1.25       -3.30
5/15AGroton-Dunstable8-35   6       1.25       -0.77
5/17HWachusett10-37   11       –-1.25       -3.97
5/18ALeominster4-31   12       –––1.25       -10.91
5/20HLeominster16-016   14       -1.25       1.59
5/22HGrafton11-29   5       +-1.25       3.72
6/01HNorthbridge17-611   6       ++-1.25       4.77
6/04NSt Johns Shrewsbury7-61   -4       ++0.00       5.22
6/08NWestborough6-7-1   -3       0.00       1.78
         0.00-5.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02HMarlborough17-32.86
4/05AWachusett13-2-1.00
4/15AWorcester Combined15-02.81
4/19HNipmuc Regional17-60.43
5/13HWorcester Combined17-03.30
5/20HLeominster16-0-1.59
6/01HNorthbridge17-6-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 92.   Natl CCR Rank 540
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.58   Natl Power Rank 540
Natl SOS Rating 71.88   Natl SOS Rank 1288
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.77   Natl Quality Win Rank 395
W-L Pct Rating 0.83   W-L Pct Rank 201
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 18-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.7



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