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Cincinnati Sycamore Aves (19-4)

Region: OH 1 Reg 4

State: OH

Coach: Tom Nugent

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	OL ST MARY'S (9-9)	MI 2	90.0		W	13-	4		0.075
3/28	vs. Louisville Ballard # (10-6)	KY Div-1	84.1		W	16-	5		0.000
3/29	vs. Louisville Collegiate # (9-9)	KY Div-1	83.9		W	11-	1		0.000
4/02	LAKOTA WEST (6-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	87.8		W	18-	3		0.000
4/04	at Hilliard Davidson (6-12)	OH 1 Reg 2	90.2		W	13-	4		0.125
4/05	HILLIARD DARBY (2-14)	OH 1 Reg 1	87.3		W	9-	6		0.025
4/10	CINCINNATI INDIAN HILL (11-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	94.0		W	10-	9		0.200
4/12	at Dublin Jerome (14-6)	OH 1 Reg 2	97.0	6	W	12-	8		0.350
4/16	at Cincinnati St Xavier (14-8)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.7	9	L	11-	12		-0.225
4/19	at Cincinnati Cou Day (9-8)	OH 2 Reg 4	85.7		W	15-	4		0.050
4/22	at Turpin (10-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	87.2		W	11-	7		0.075
4/25	PICKERINGTON (9-8)	OH 4 North	85.5		W	9-	4		0.000
4/30	at Mason (10-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.9		W	12-	9		0.050
5/02	at Lakota West (6-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	87.8		W	20-	8		0.025
5/04	ANN ARBOR PIONEER (16-5)	MI 1	94.8		L	4-	9		-0.300
5/06	at Lakota East (0-11)	OH 1 Reg 4	78.4		W	16-	3		0.000
5/09	ARCHBISHOP MOELLER (13-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	96.3	8	L	11-	14		-0.275
5/10	MILFORD (13-6)	OH 4 South	86.9		W	16-	6		0.000
5/13	at Anderson (10-11)	OH 4 South	82.6		W	21-	4		0.000
5/14	LOVELAND (19-5)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.2		W	16-	7		0.075
5/20	MARIEMONT (13-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.8		W	7-	6	ot	0.100
5/24	LAKOTA WEST (6-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	87.8		W	15-	2		0.000
5/28	at Cincinnati St Xavier (14-8)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.7	9	L	9-	11		-0.225
# Neutral site			85.1						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	OL St Mary's	13-	4	9	7	+	-1.35		2.23
3/28	N	Louisville Ballard	16-	5	11	11		0.00		-0.39
3/29	N	Louisville Collegiate	11-	1	10	12		0.00		-1.57
4/02	H	Lakota West	18-	3	15	11	+	-1.28	3.79
4/04	A	Hilliard Davidson	13-	4	9	5	++	1.28	4.32
4/05	H	Hilliard Darby	9-	6	3	9	–––	-1.28	-6.17
4/10	H	Cincinnati Indian Hill	10-	9	1	2		-1.28	-1.09
4/12	A	Dublin Jerome	12-	8	4	-4	+++	1.28	7.90
4/16	A	Cincinnati St Xavier	11-	12	-1	-1		1.28	0.16
4/19	A	Cincinnati Cou Day	15-	4	11	8	+	1.51		2.71
4/22	A	Turpin	11-	7	4	7	–	1.51		-2.71
4/25	H	Pickerington	9-	4	5	12	–––	-1.50		-6.50
4/30	A	Mason	12-	9	3	8	––	1.28	-4.53
5/02	A	Lakota West	20-	8	12	9	+	1.28	3.34
5/04	H	Ann Arbor Pioneer	4-	9	-5	2	–––	-1.35		-7.05
5/06	A	Lakota East	16-	3	13	18	––	1.28	-5.03
5/09	H	Archbishop Moeller	11-	14	-3	1	–	-1.28	-3.66
5/10	H	Milford	16-	6	10	10		-1.50		-0.10
5/13	A	Anderson	21-	4	17	11	++	1.50		5.64
5/14	H	Loveland	16-	7	9	7	+	-1.51		2.20
5/20	H	Mariemont	7-	6	1	6	––	-1.51		-5.15
5/24	H	Lakota West	15-	2	13	11		-1.28	1.79
5/28	A	Cincinnati St Xavier	9-	11	-2	-1		1.28	-0.84
									0.00	-10.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	N	Louisville Ballard	16-	5	0.39
3/29	N	Louisville Collegiate	11-	1	1.57
4/02	H	Lakota West	18-	3	-3.79
4/19	A	Cincinnati Cou Day	15-	4	-1.00
5/02	A	Lakota West	20-	8	-2.00
5/06	A	Lakota East	16-	3	5.03
5/10	H	Milford	16-	6	0.10
5/13	A	Anderson	21-	4	-5.64
5/24	H	Lakota West	15-	2	-1.79
10-goal correction: -0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	216
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.46		Natl Power Rank	216
Natl SOS Rating	77.21		Natl SOS Rank	743
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1164
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	203
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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