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Thacher School Toads (7-6)

Conference: D1

Region: CA CondorS

State: CA

Coach: Cam Spaulding

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/19	at Oak Park (10-4)	CA Indep	90.4	6	L	6-	12		-0.150
3/26	BRENTWOOD SCHOOL (4-13)	CA Mission	77.1		W	10-	3		0.075
4/02	at Malibu (5-9)	CA CondorS	77.9		L	8-	9	ot	-0.350
4/04	ROBERT L STEVENSON (15-3)	CA SCCAL	91.5		L	5-	12		-0.125
4/05	at Harvard-Westlake (8-9)	CA Mission	83.9		W	14-	7		0.250
4/09	CATE SCHOOL (11-3)	CA CondorS	89.1	8	L	5-	6		-0.250
4/12	at Oaks Christian (3-11)	CA CondorS	76.9		W	15-	3		0.125
4/14	OAK PARK (10-4)	CA Indep	90.4	6	L	7-	11		-0.200
4/16	at Laguna Blanca (7-5)	CA CondorN	76.9		W	12-	5		0.075
4/19	DUNN SCHOOL (1-9)	CA CondorN	64.3		W	13-	0		0.000
4/23	OAKS CHRISTIAN (3-11)	CA CondorS	76.9		W	8-	3		0.075
4/26	at Cate School (11-3)	CA CondorS	89.1	8	L	3-	6		-0.200
4/30	MALIBU (5-9)	CA CondorS	77.9		W	15-	6		0.075
			83.6						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/19	A	Oak Park	6-	12	-6	-4		1.20	-1.64
3/26	H	Brentwood School	10-	3	7	7		-1.20	0.00
4/02	A	Malibu	8-	9	-1	4	––	1.20	-5.14
4/04	H	Robert L Stevenson	5-	12	-7	-5		-0.93		-1.98
4/05	A	Harvard-Westlake	14-	7	7	0	+++	1.20	6.75
4/09	H	Cate School	5-	6	-1	0		-1.20	-1.37
4/12	A	Oaks Christian	15-	3	12	5	+++	1.20	7.04
4/14	H	Oak Park	7-	11	-4	-2	–	-1.20	-2.04
4/16	A	Laguna Blanca	12-	5	7	7		1.20	0.47
4/19	H	Dunn School	13-	0	13	16	–	-1.20	-3.20
4/23	H	Oaks Christian	8-	3	5	7	–	-1.20	-2.36
4/26	A	Cate School	3-	6	-3	-2		1.20	-0.97
4/30	H	Malibu	15-	6	9	7	+	-1.20	2.46
									0.00	-1.98

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	Oaks Christian	15-	3	-2.00
4/19	H	Dunn School	13-	0	3.20
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1273
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.54		Natl Power Rank	1273
Natl SOS Rating	73.73		Natl SOS Rank	1084
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	2466
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	1179
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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