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Tilton School Rams (4-9)

Region: NE North

State: NH

Coach: Henry Large

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Cushing Academy (9-8)	NE East-1	91.1		L	3-	7		-0.200
4/05	LAWRENCE ACADEMY (2-15)	NE ISL	85.9		W	8-	4		0.150
4/09	HOLDERNESS (12-3)	NE East-1	96.5	8	L	6-	10		-0.050
4/16	at Winchendon (1-10)	NE East-2	82.2		W	15-	3		0.075
4/19	at North Yarmouth Acad (7-13)	ME East-B	86.1		L	6-	9		-0.275
4/23	at Kimball Union (7-7)	NE East-1	93.1		L	4-	9		-0.125
4/25	BERWICK (12-6)	NE EIL	90.6		W	10-	6		0.225
4/28	BREWSTER ACADEMY (14-2)	NE North	97.4	5	L	1-	14		-0.025
4/30	HEBRON ACADEMY (13-2)	NE North	95.1		L	2-	4		-0.125
5/03	LEXINGTON CHRISTIAN (6-7)	NE EIL	82.4		W	12-	0		0.000
5/06	PROCTOR (7-6)	NE North	90.0		L	8-	14		-0.250
5/13	at Phillips Andover (10-5)	NE East-1	95.7	10	L	0-	7		-0.075
5/14	at New Hampton (6-8)	NE North	87.4		L	7-	10		-0.275
			88.7						-0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Cushing Academy	3-	7	-4	-2	–	0.34	-2.05
4/05	H	Lawrence Academy	8-	4	4	4		-0.34	0.42
4/09	H	Holderness	6-	10	-4	-8	+	-0.34	3.54
4/16	A	Winchendon	15-	3	12	7	++	0.34	5.32
4/19	A	North Yarmouth Acad	6-	9	-3	1	––	0.58		-4.27
4/23	A	Kimball Union	4-	9	-5	-5		0.34	-0.19
4/25	H	Berwick	10-	6	4	1	+	-0.34	3.37
4/28	H	Brewster Academy	1-	14	-13	-9	––	-0.34	-4.50
4/30	H	Hebron Academy	2-	4	-2	-5	+	-0.34	2.70
5/03	H	Lexington Christian	12-	0	12	11		-0.34	1.33
5/06	H	Proctor	8-	14	-6	0	–––	-0.34	-6.05
5/13	A	Phillips Andover	0-	7	-7	-7		0.34	0.38
5/14	A	New Hampton	7-	10	-3	1	––	0.34	-4.26
									0.00	-4.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	A	Winchendon	15-	3	-2.00
4/28	H	Brewster Academy	1-	14	3.00
5/03	H	Lexington Christian	12-	0	-1.33
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	963
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.93		Natl Power Rank	963
Natl SOS Rating	83.17		Natl SOS Rank	334
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	2763
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	2081
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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