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Tamalpais Red Hawks (7-12)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Marin

State: CA

Coach: Jon Porter

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/26	at Campolindo (9-13)	CA DFAL	80.8		W	10-	6		0.125
2/28	BELLA VISTA (7-12)	CA SanJoq	84.4		W	10-	9		0.200
3/03	at Las Lomas (9-9)	CA DFAL	85.5		L	6-	13		-0.250
3/05	at Bishop O'Dowd (9-8)	CA BayShor	89.2		L	3-	6		-0.175
3/07	at University SF (13-10)	CA BayArea	91.1		L	8-	13		-0.125
3/10	CARDINAL NEWMAN (13-3)	CA BayArea	90.5		L	6-	11		-0.200
3/12	at Lick-Wilmerding (12-5)	CA BayArea	86.6		W	8-	3		0.250
3/15	SAINT MARY'S (5-10)	CA BayShor	82.9		W	17-	11		0.200
3/18	CLAYTON VALLEY (12-9)	CA BayShor	85.4		W	15-	9		0.200
3/25	at Berkeley (6-12)	CA BayShor	87.5		L	8-	11		-0.150
3/28	at San Marin (4-12)	CA Marin	83.7		W	6-	4		0.250
3/31	GRANITE BAY (16-4)	CA SanJoq	90.3		L	4-	5	2ot	-0.200
4/02	SAN RAFAEL (5-12)	CA Marin	82.6		L	10-	11	ot	-0.325
4/04	REDWOOD (11-8)	CA Marin	92.1	9	L	2-	14		-0.075
4/16	at Novato (18-4)	CA Marin	93.0	6	L	3-	9		-0.050
4/18	TERRA LINDA (2-10)	CA Marin	79.4		W	11-	2		0.125
4/23	BRANSON (9-7)	CA Marin	88.4		L	8-	11		-0.200
4/25	at Marin Catholic (11-10)	CA Marin	91.3		L	7-	14		-0.075
4/30	SIR FRANCIS DRAKE (6-6)	CA Marin	85.0		L	9-	10		-0.325
			80.3						-0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/26	A	Campolindo	10-	6	4	5		0.66	-0.54
2/28	H	Bella Vista	10-	9	1	2		-0.66	-0.73
3/03	A	Las Lomas	6-	13	-7	0	–––	0.66	-7.34
3/05	A	Bishop O'Dowd	3-	6	-3	-3		0.66	0.12
3/07	A	University SF	8-	13	-5	-5		0.66	0.25
3/10	H	Cardinal Newman	6-	11	-5	-2	–	-0.66	-2.63
3/12	A	Lick-Wilmerding	8-	3	5	0	++	0.66	4.94
3/15	H	Saint Mary's	17-	11	6	2	++	-0.66	4.10
3/18	H	Clayton Valley	15-	9	6	2	++	-0.66	4.19
3/25	A	Berkeley	8-	11	-3	-4		0.66	1.46
3/28	A	San Marin	6-	4	2	0	+	0.66	2.29
3/31	H	Granite Bay	4-	5	-1	-2		-0.66	1.50
4/02	H	San Rafael	10-	11	-1	3	––	-0.66	-4.29
4/04	H	Redwood	2-	14	-12	-7	––	-0.66	-4.61
4/16	A	Novato	3-	9	-6	-8	+	0.66	2.46
4/18	H	Terra Linda	11-	2	9	5	+	-0.66	3.95
4/23	H	Branson	8-	11	-3	-2		-0.66	-1.24
4/25	A	Marin Catholic	7-	14	-7	-7		0.66	0.12
4/30	H	Sir Francis Drake	9-	10	-1	3	––	-0.66	-4.01
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	H	Redwood	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1375
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.86		Natl Power Rank	1375
Natl SOS Rating	67.38		Natl SOS Rank	1739
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	2657
W-L Pct Rating	0.37		W-L Pct Rank	1884
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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