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Troy Athens Red Hawks (9-9)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Nick Stensen

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	PINE RICHLAND (11-7)	PA 1DNORTH	90.3		L	6-	7		-0.300
4/05	NORTH ALLEGHENY (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	95.8		L	3-	7		-0.175
4/10	at De La Salle (10-8)	MI 2	92.0		L	6-	11		-0.175
4/12	at Univ Detroit Jesuit (13-9)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	2-	18		-0.025
4/14	ROCHESTER ADAMS (11-9)	MI 2	86.4		W	12-	2		0.050
4/16	BIRMINGHAM-SEAHOLM (11-9)	MI 1	92.1	10	W	6-	5		0.275
4/19	ANN ARBOR PIONEER (16-5)	MI 1	94.8	3	L	5-	6		-0.125
4/26	at Brother Rice (23-0)	MI 1	99.1	1	L	2-	19		0.000
4/28	ANN ARBOR HURON (10-8)	MI 1	89.7		W	1-	0		0.125
5/01	BLOOMFIELD HILLS (8-12)	MI 1	85.9		W	17-	6		0.050
5/06	at Detroit Country Day (5-16)	MI 2	87.0		W	10-	2		0.200
5/08	at Troy (6-11)	MI 1	83.6		W	12-	7		0.100
5/13	at Detroit Catholic Cent (11-8)	MI 1	92.7	6	L	8-	15		-0.150
5/16	at Cranbrook (16-6)	MI 2	92.5	7	L	8-	9	2ot	-0.200
5/22	L'ANSE CREUSE NORTH (5-11)	MI 1	81.3		W	18-	5		0.000
5/28	vs. Bloomfield Hills # (8-12)	MI 1	85.9		W	15-	8		0.075
5/30	vs. Novi # (15-3)	MI 1	92.3	9	W	7-	6	ot	0.275
6/04	vs. Brother Rice # (23-0)	MI 1	99.1	1	L	3-	26		0.000
# Neutral site			85.1						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Pine Richland	6-	7	-1	2	–	-1.27		-3.49
4/05	H	North Allegheny	3-	7	-4	-3		-1.27		-1.05
4/10	A	De La Salle	6-	11	-5	-3	–	1.42	-2.26
4/12	A	Univ Detroit Jesuit	2-	18	-16	-9	–––	1.42	-6.86
4/14	H	Rochester Adams	12-	2	10	8		-1.42	1.51
4/16	H	Birmingham-Seaholm	6-	5	1	-1	+	-1.42	2.22
4/19	H	Ann Arbor Pioneer	5-	6	-1	-5	+	-1.42	3.51
4/26	A	Brother Rice	2-	19	-17	-17		1.42	-0.21
5/01	H	Bloomfield Hills	17-	6	11	8	+	-1.42	2.91
5/06	A	Detroit Country Day	10-	2	8	2	++	1.42	5.58
5/08	A	Troy	12-	7	5	6		1.42	-0.65
5/13	A	Detroit Catholic Cent	8-	15	-7	-4	–	1.42	-2.55
5/16	A	Cranbrook	8-	9	-1	-2		1.42	1.38
5/22	H	L'Anse Creuse North	18-	5	13	12		-1.42	0.59
5/28	N	Bloomfield Hills	15-	8	7	7		0.00	0.33
5/30	N	Novi	7-	6	1	-1	+	0.00	2.13
6/04	N	Brother Rice	3-	26	-23	-15	–––	0.00	-7.63
									0.00	-4.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	Univ Detroit Jesuit	2-	18	6.00
4/14	H	Rochester Adams	12-	2	0.00
4/26	A	Brother Rice	2-	19	0.21
5/01	H	Bloomfield Hills	17-	6	-1.00
5/22	H	L'Anse Creuse North	18-	5	-0.59
6/04	N	Brother Rice	3-	26	7.63
10-goal correction: 0.72

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	560
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.53		Natl Power Rank	560
Natl SOS Rating	77.43		Natl SOS Rank	719
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1362
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1340
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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