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Toms River East Raiders (15-4)

Conference: Shore

Region: NJ Grp-III

State: NJ

Coach: George Peters

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	HOWELL (11-6)	NJ Grp-IV	91.4		W	10-	9		0.200
4/03	BRICK TOWNSHIP (8-10)	NJ Grp-III	82.4		W	7-	4		0.050
4/07	at Monsignor Donovan (10-5)	NJ Grp-A	91.2		W	10-	9		0.275
4/10	at Toms River North (8-6)	NJ Grp-IV	89.6		L	3-	4		-0.250
4/12	COLT'S NECK (5-10)	NJ Grp-IV	83.6		W	11-	5		0.100
4/15	SOUTHERN REGIONAL (8-8)	NJ Grp-IV	85.3		W	6-	1		0.125
4/17	MANASQUAN (10-7)	NJ Grp-I	92.1		W	10-	9		0.250
4/19	ST JOHN VIANNEY (1-17)	NJ Grp-A	69.6		W	19-	2		0.000
4/21	at St Rose Belmar (2-15)	NJ Grp-B	74.1		W	16-	5		0.050
4/24	TOMS RIVER SOUTH (8-8)	NJ Grp-III	87.5		L	7-	10		-0.375
4/26	FREEHOLD TOWNSHIP (7-8)	NJ Grp-IV	86.8		W	12-	2		0.125
4/29	at Barnegat Township (4-14)	NJ Grp-I	75.8		W	15-	8		0.050
5/01	at Jackson Memorial (7-9)	NJ Grp-IV	85.5		W	13-	9		0.200
5/03	JACKSON LIBERTY (2-14)	NJ Grp-I	69.1		W	12-	4		0.000
5/06	at Marlboro (8-11)	NJ Grp-IV	81.0		W	17-	5		0.125
5/09	FREEHOLD TOWNSHIP (7-8)	NJ Grp-IV	86.8		W	14-	5		0.125
5/13	at Red Bank Regional (14-3)	NJ Grp-II	96.6		L	3-	17		-0.100
5/21	at Cherry Hill West (10-7)	NJ Grp-III	90.9		W	12-	9		0.275
5/23	at Ridgewood (18-5)	NJ Grp-III	98.6	5	L	1-	17		0.000
			77.4						1.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Howell	10-	9	1	2		-1.37	-0.89
4/03	H	Brick Township	7-	4	3	8	––	-1.37	-4.96
4/07	A	Monsignor Donovan	10-	9	1	-1		1.37	1.51
4/10	A	Toms River North	3-	4	-1	0		1.37	-1.26
4/12	H	Colt's Neck	11-	5	6	6		-1.37	0.44
4/15	H	Southern Regional	6-	1	5	5		-1.37	-0.03
4/17	H	Manasquan	10-	9	1	0		-1.37	0.76
4/19	H	St John Vianney	19-	2	17	14	+	-1.37	2.63
4/21	A	St Rose Belmar	16-	5	11	8	+	1.37	3.08
4/24	H	Toms River South	7-	10	-3	5	–––	-1.37	-7.62
4/26	H	Freehold Township	12-	2	10	5	++	-1.37	5.16
4/29	A	Barnegat Township	15-	8	7	8		1.37	-1.20
5/01	A	Jackson Memorial	13-	9	4	2		1.37	1.93
5/03	H	Jackson Liberty	12-	4	8	14	–––	-1.37	-6.39
5/06	A	Marlboro	17-	5	12	5	+++	1.37	6.55
5/09	H	Freehold Township	14-	5	9	5	++	-1.37	4.16
5/13	A	Red Bank Regional	3-	17	-14	-6	–––	1.37	-7.76
5/21	A	Cherry Hill West	12-	9	3	-1	++	1.37	4.29
5/23	A	Ridgewood	1-	17	-16	-16		1.37	-0.41
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/19	H	St John Vianney	19-	2	-2.63
4/21	A	St Rose Belmar	16-	5	-1.00
4/26	H	Freehold Township	12-	2	0.00
5/06	A	Marlboro	17-	5	-2.00
5/13	A	Red Bank Regional	3-	17	4.00
5/23	A	Ridgewood	1-	17	0.41
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	437
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.06		Natl Power Rank	437
Natl SOS Rating	62.88		Natl SOS Rank	2171
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	163
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	292
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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