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Troy Colts (6-11)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Matt Jantz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	NOTRE DAME PREP (19-2)	MI 2	92.4	8	L	5-	7		-0.100
4/05	PINE RICHLAND (11-7)	PA 1DNORTH	90.3		L	3-	13		-0.125
4/08	at Rochester Stoney Creek (2-13)	MI 1	78.9		W	16-	4		0.100
4/12	WATERFORD (10-8)	MI 1	81.7		W	13-	2		0.100
4/16	ROCHESTER ADAMS (11-9)	MI 2	86.4		L	7-	8	ot	-0.275
4/17	at Farmington (12-6)	MI 2	88.9		L	7-	12		-0.175
4/22	BIRMINGHAM-SEAHOLM (11-9)	MI 1	92.1	10	L	3-	15		-0.050
4/25	at Detroit Country Day (5-16)	MI 2	87.0		L	3-	9		-0.125
4/29	CLARKSTON (7-9)	MI 1	85.0		W	12-	7		0.200
4/30	at North-Harrison (8-10)	MI 1	81.6		W	17-	11		0.200
5/02	at Lake Orion (4-12)	MI 1	80.6		W	13-	6		0.150
5/06	ROYAL OAK (10-8)	MI 1	83.7		W	11-	9		0.175
5/08	TROY ATHENS (9-9)	MI 1	91.5		L	7-	12		-0.100
5/09	at OL St Mary's (9-9)	MI 2	90.0		L	8-	10		-0.075
5/13	UTICA EISENHOWER (13-7)	MI 1	89.0		L	3-	14		-0.250
5/15	at Bloomfield Hills (8-12)	MI 1	85.9		L	7-	11		-0.200
5/22	BLOOMFIELD HILLS (8-12)	MI 1	85.9		L	7-	13		-0.275
			78.2						-0.83

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Notre Dame Prep	5-	7	-2	-6	+	-1.42	3.63
4/05	H	Pine Richland	3-	13	-10	-5	––	-1.27		-4.54
4/08	A	Rochester Stoney Creek	16-	4	12	6	++	1.42	5.72
4/12	H	Waterford	13-	2	11	6	++	-1.42	4.64
4/16	H	Rochester Adams	7-	8	-1	1	–	-1.42	-2.42
4/17	A	Farmington	7-	12	-5	-3		1.42	-1.86
4/22	H	Birmingham-Seaholm	3-	15	-12	-8	–	-1.42	-3.70
4/25	A	Detroit Country Day	3-	9	-6	-5		1.42	-1.34
4/29	H	Clarkston	12-	7	5	2	+	-1.42	3.12
4/30	A	North-Harrison	17-	11	6	2	++	1.42	4.33
5/02	A	Lake Orion	13-	6	7	4	+	1.42	3.02
5/06	H	Royal Oak	11-	9	2	3		-1.42	-1.45
5/08	H	Troy Athens	7-	12	-5	-6		-1.42	0.65
5/09	A	OL St Mary's	8-	10	-2	-7	++	1.42	5.42
5/13	H	Utica Eisenhower	3-	14	-11	0	–––	-1.42	10.57
5/15	A	Bloomfield Hills	7-	11	-4	-2	–	1.42	-2.17
5/22	H	Bloomfield Hills	7-	13	-6	1	–––	-1.42	-7.01
									0.00	-4.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Pine Richland	3-	13	0.00
4/08	A	Rochester Stoney Creek	16-	4	-2.00
4/12	H	Waterford	13-	2	-1.00
4/22	H	Birmingham-Seaholm	3-	15	2.00
5/13	H	Utica Eisenhower	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1460
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.59		Natl Power Rank	1460
Natl SOS Rating	64.02		Natl SOS Rank	2078
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.83		Natl Quality Win Rank	2678
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1941
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.0


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