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Troy Flying Horses (3-15)

Region: NY A Sec 2

State: NY

Coach: Brian Benner

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	SCOTIA-GLENVILLE (12-6)	NY B Sec 2	83.0		L	0-	14		-0.050
4/05	ST JOSEPH CENTRAL (14-6)	MA 2	87.4		L	5-	15		0.000
4/08	at Amsterdam (2-17)	NY B Sec 2	71.3		W	4-	3		0.200
4/10	CHRISTIAN BROS (14-6)	NY A Sec 2	91.0	5	L	4-	18		0.000
4/14	at Greenwich-Cambridge (2-15)	NY C Sec 2	72.1		W	6-	4		0.225
4/16	at Johnstown (7-13)	NY C Sec 2	77.1		L	9-	17		-0.100
4/22	at Albany Academy (4-12)	NY A Sec 2	78.7		L	4-	8		-0.050
4/24	LASALLE INSTITUTE (9-10)	NY A Sec 2	83.9		L	2-	17		0.000
4/29	SCHENECTADY (11-7)	NY A Sec 2	86.2		L	8-	16		0.000
5/02	AMSTERDAM (2-17)	NY B Sec 2	71.3		W	6-	5		0.150
5/03	at Schuylerville (5-12)	NY C Sec 2	75.2		L	6-	9		-0.200
5/06	at Christian Bros (14-6)	NY A Sec 2	91.0	5	L	1-	17		0.000
5/08	ALBANY ACADEMY (4-12)	NY A Sec 2	78.7		L	6-	11		-0.100
5/13	at LaSalle Institute (9-10)	NY A Sec 2	83.9		L	1-	13		0.000
5/15	at Schenectady (11-7)	NY A Sec 2	86.2		L	2-	16		0.000
5/19	JOHNSTOWN (7-13)	NY C Sec 2	77.1		L	9-	14		-0.150
5/21	at South Glens Falls (10-9)	NY B Sec 2	80.6		L	4-	13		-0.025
5/27	at Guilderland (17-3)	NY A Sec 2	95.7	2	L	4-	19		0.000
			85.1						-0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Scotia-Glenville	0-	14	-14	-8	––	-0.97	-5.73
4/05	H	St Joseph Central	5-	15	-10	-13	+	-1.09		3.01
4/08	A	Amsterdam	4-	3	1	2		0.97	-0.59
4/10	H	Christian Bros	4-	18	-14	-15		-0.97	1.44
4/14	A	Greenwich-Cambridge	6-	4	2	1		0.97	1.16
4/16	A	Johnstown	9-	17	-8	-6	–	0.97	-2.40
4/22	A	Albany Academy	4-	8	-4	-8	+	0.97	3.71
4/24	H	LaSalle Institute	2-	17	-15	-11	––	-0.97	-4.06
4/29	H	Schenectady	8-	16	-8	-11	+	-0.97	3.17
5/02	H	Amsterdam	6-	5	1	4	–	-0.97	-2.53
5/03	A	Schuylerville	6-	9	-3	-2		0.97	-0.66
5/06	A	Christian Bros	1-	17	-16	-17		0.97	1.38
5/08	H	Albany Academy	6-	11	-5	-6		-0.97	0.77
5/13	A	LaSalle Institute	1-	13	-12	-13		0.97	0.88
5/15	A	Schenectady	2-	16	-14	-13		0.97	-0.89
5/19	H	Johnstown	9-	14	-5	-4		-0.97	-1.35
5/21	A	South Glens Falls	4-	13	-9	-9		0.97	-0.02
5/27	A	Guilderland	4-	19	-15	-21	++	0.97	5.74
									0.00	3.01

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Scotia-Glenville	0-	14	4.00
4/05	H	St Joseph Central	5-	15	-3.01
4/10	H	Christian Bros	4-	18	-1.44
4/24	H	LaSalle Institute	2-	17	4.06
5/06	A	Christian Bros	1-	17	-1.38
5/13	A	LaSalle Institute	1-	13	-0.88
5/15	A	Schenectady	2-	16	0.89
5/27	A	Guilderland	4-	19	-5.74
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2386
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.30		Natl Power Rank	2386
Natl SOS Rating	77.06		Natl SOS Rank	762
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1633
W-L Pct Rating	0.17		W-L Pct Rank	2447
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-14		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.7


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