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Triton Hawks (7-9)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: Darrin Guay

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/05	CARDINAL GIBBONS (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	L	2-	12		-0.025
3/06	GARNER (8-8)	NC 4A	75.4		W	13-	10		0.200
3/11	at Athens Drive (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		L	5-	8		-0.150
3/14	at Hillsborough Orange (1-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.0		W	9-	2		0.125
3/15	at Carrboro (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		W	11-	1		0.175
3/18	at Holly Springs (14-3)	NC 4A	86.9		L	2-	15		0.000
3/21	NORTHEAST GUILFORD (2-15)	NC 3A/2A	63.4		W	14-	3		0.000
3/22	PANTHER CREEK (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		L	4-	6		-0.300
4/02	at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	L	0-	17		0.000
4/11	at Cedar Ridge (11-7)	NC 3A/2A	78.2		L	5-	10		-0.175
4/15	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	11-	10	ot	0.200
4/23	at Panther Creek (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		L	7-	8	ot	-0.225
4/25	at NorthEast Guilford (2-15)	NC 3A/2A	63.4		W	15-	4		0.000
4/29	CARRBORO (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		W	13-	7		0.100
5/02	CEDAR RIDGE (11-7)	NC 3A/2A	78.2		L	5-	6	ot	-0.225
5/06	at Western Alamance (10-8)	NC 3A/2A	78.8		L	5-	6		-0.125
			77.9						-0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	H	Cardinal Gibbons	2-	12	-10	-9		-1.35	-1.49
3/06	H	Garner	13-	10	3	2		-1.35	1.27
3/11	A	Athens Drive	5-	8	-3	-4		1.35	0.80
3/14	A	Hillsborough Orange	9-	2	7	5	+	1.35	2.50
3/15	A	Carrboro	11-	1	10	3	+++	1.35	7.10
3/18	A	Holly Springs	2-	15	-13	-11	–	1.35	-2.06
3/21	H	NorthEast Guilford	14-	3	11	13		-1.35	-1.56
3/22	H	Panther Creek	4-	6	-2	2	–	-1.35	-3.60
4/02	A	Cardinal Gibbons	0-	17	-17	-11	––	1.35	-5.80
4/11	A	Cedar Ridge	5-	10	-5	-3		1.35	-1.59
4/15	H	Wilmington New Hanover	11-	10	1	2		-1.35	-1.34
4/23	A	Panther Creek	7-	8	-1	-1		1.35	0.09
4/25	A	NorthEast Guilford	15-	4	11	10		1.35	1.13
4/29	H	Carrboro	13-	7	6	6		-1.35	0.41
5/02	H	Cedar Ridge	5-	6	-1	-1		-1.35	-0.28
5/06	A	Western Alamance	5-	6	-1	-5	++	1.35	4.44
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	H	Cardinal Gibbons	2-	12	0.00
3/15	A	Carrboro	11-	1	0.00
3/18	A	Holly Springs	2-	15	2.06
3/21	H	NorthEast Guilford	14-	3	1.56
4/02	A	Cardinal Gibbons	0-	17	5.80
4/25	A	NorthEast Guilford	15-	4	-1.13
10-goal correction: 0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2262
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.73		Natl Power Rank	2262
Natl SOS Rating	63.45		Natl SOS Rank	2138
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	2241
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1639
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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