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Toledo St John's Titans (12-8)

Region: OH 1 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: Mike McComish

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	at Lexington Dunbar (3-11)	KY Div-1	74.6		W	11-	5		0.000
3/25	at Lexington Tates Creek (0-14)	KY Div-1	69.1		W	17-	2		0.000
3/26	at Lexington Catholic (10-7)	KY Div-1	84.0		W	11-	4		0.075
3/29	at Olentangy HS (15-3)	OH 1 Reg 1	94.8		L	3-	6		-0.175
4/05	MEDINA (7-7)	OH 1 Reg 3	92.5		L	7-	9		-0.275
4/09	at Walsh Jesuit (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 2	88.6		W	11-	5		0.200
4/12	ANN ARBOR PIONEER (16-5)	MI 1	94.8		L	4-	12		-0.200
4/15	at Perrysburg (5-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	81.1		W	11-	1		0.025
4/18	CLARKSTON (7-9)	MI 1	85.0		W	11-	2		0.050
4/19	LAKOTA WEST (6-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	87.8		W	12-	7		0.100
4/23	WESTERVILLE NORTH (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	90.4		W	9-	3		0.200
4/25	at Dublin Coffman (10-8)	OH 1 Reg 1	94.5		L	3-	15		-0.150
4/26	DETROIT CATHOLIC CENT (11-8)	MI 1	92.7		W	8-	5		0.250
5/02	at Upper Arlington (19-3)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.9	2	L	2-	14		0.000
5/08	at St Francis de Sales (12-6)	OH 2 Reg 1	87.7		W	11-	6		0.175
5/12	SYLVANIA (17-2)	OH 4 North	91.5		L	9-	10		-0.300
5/14	at Kent Roosevelt (6-11)	OH 1 Reg 3	87.9		W	8-	3		0.200
5/17	at Hilliard Darby (2-14)	OH 1 Reg 1	87.3		W	12-	8		0.200
5/20	ST FRANCIS DE SALES (12-6)	OH 2 Reg 1	87.7		L	6-	7		-0.400
5/24	at Dublin Coffman (10-8)	OH 1 Reg 1	94.5		L	5-	7		-0.150
			84.7						-0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Lexington Dunbar	11-	5	6	16	–––	1.16		-9.99
3/25	A	Lexington Tates Creek	17-	2	15	22	–––	1.16		-6.59
3/26	A	Lexington Catholic	11-	4	7	7		1.16		0.36
3/29	A	Olentangy HS	3-	6	-3	-3		1.28	0.46
4/05	H	Medina	7-	9	-2	1	–	-1.28	-2.67
4/09	A	Walsh Jesuit	11-	5	6	2	++	1.51		4.29
4/12	H	Ann Arbor Pioneer	4-	12	-8	-2	–––	-1.35		-6.39
4/15	A	Perrysburg	11-	1	10	9		1.51		0.80
4/18	H	Clarkston	11-	2	9	8		-1.35		0.86
4/19	H	Lakota West	12-	7	5	6		-1.28	-1.46
4/23	H	Westerville North	9-	3	6	2	+	-1.28	3.57
4/25	A	Dublin Coffman	3-	15	-12	-4	–––	1.28	-7.84
4/26	H	Detroit Catholic Cent	8-	5	3	0	+	-1.35		2.58
5/02	A	Upper Arlington	2-	14	-12	-12		1.28	0.45
5/08	A	St Francis de Sales	11-	6	5	3	+	1.51		2.45
5/12	H	Sylvania	9-	10	-1	2	–	-1.50		-2.80
5/14	A	Kent Roosevelt	8-	3	5	2	+	1.28	3.22
5/17	A	Hilliard Darby	12-	8	4	2	+	1.28	2.12
5/20	H	St Francis de Sales	6-	7	-1	6	–––	-1.51		-6.57
5/24	A	Dublin Coffman	5-	7	-2	-4	+	1.28	2.16
									0.00	-20.99

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	A	Lexington Tates Creek	17-	2	6.59
4/15	A	Perrysburg	11-	1	0.00
4/25	A	Dublin Coffman	3-	15	2.00
5/02	A	Upper Arlington	2-	14	-0.45
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	508
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.80		Natl Power Rank	508
Natl SOS Rating	76.68		Natl SOS Rank	805
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	1928
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	947
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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