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Tully Black Knights (5-12)

Conference: OSHL3Region: NY C Sec 3State: NYCoach: Sol Bliss

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Bishop Ludden (6-12)NY C Sec 388.3L8- 9 -0.225  
4/05vs. Onondaga Central # (9-10)NY C Sec 390.9L10-11 -0.175  
4/09MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (3-14)NY C Sec 381.1W14- 6 0.075  
4/11CHRISTIAN BROS (15-5)NY C Sec 395.810L9-12 -0.125  
4/12at Waterloo (6-13)NY C Sec 580.2W17- 6 0.075  
4/15LAFAYETTE (19-2)NY C Sec 398.24L3-14 -0.050  
4/17at Marcellus (7-11)NY C Sec 390.8L5-13 -0.150  
4/22at Cazenovia Central (13-7)NY C Sec 394.3L4- 9 -0.100  
4/24at Skaneateles (17-6)NY C Sec 396.39L5-11 -0.050  
4/26at Fulton (5-14)NY B Sec 388.9W11-10 0.300  
4/29JORDAN-ELBRIDGE (7-12)NY C Sec 389.9L10-13 -0.200  
5/01at Westhill (12-8)NY C Sec 393.8L6-13 -0.100  
5/06at Manlius-Pebble Hill (3-14)NY C Sec 381.1W14- 5 0.125  
5/08at Onondaga Central (9-10)NY C Sec 390.9L5-13 -0.150  
5/13at Christian Bros (15-5)NY C Sec 395.810L8-15 -0.075  
5/15at Lafayette (19-2)NY C Sec 398.24L4-15 0.000  
5/20HAMILTON CENTRAL (6-9)NY C Sec 379.5-    
5/22BISHOP LUDDEN (6-12)NY C Sec 388.3W12-11 0.225  
# Neutral site 89.3     -0.60  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01ABishop Ludden8-9-1   -1       1.08       -0.09
4/05NOnondaga Central10-11-1   -3       0.00       1.72
4/09HManlius-Pebble Hill14-68   7       -1.08       0.58
4/11HChristian Bros9-12-3   -5       +-1.08       2.06
4/12AWaterloo17-611   7       ++1.28       4.09
4/15HLafayette3-14-11   -8       –-1.08       -2.69
4/17AMarcellus5-13-8   -4       ––1.08       -4.24
4/22ACazenovia Central4-9-5   -6       1.08       1.40
4/24ASkaneateles5-11-6   -8       +1.08       2.18
4/26AFulton11-101   -2       +1.08       2.84
4/29HJordan-Elbridge10-13-3   -2       -1.08       -1.49
5/01AWesthill6-13-7   -6       1.08       -1.23
5/06AManlius-Pebble Hill14-59   5       +1.08       3.74
5/08AOnondaga Central5-13-8   -4       ––1.08       -4.21
5/13AChristian Bros8-15-7   -7       1.08       0.22
5/15ALafayette4-15-11   -10       1.08       -0.54
5/22HBishop Ludden12-111   1       -1.08       -0.25
         0.004.09

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/12AWaterloo17-6-1.00
4/15HLafayette3-141.00
5/15ALafayette4-151.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 914
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 88.38   Natl Power Rank 914
Natl SOS Rating 85.44   Natl SOS Rank 231
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.60   Natl Quality Win Rank 2483
W-L Pct Rating 0.29   W-L Pct Rank 2119
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.7



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