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Tucson Tanque Verde Sabercats (13-2)

Region: AZ 2 South

State: AZ

Coach: Randy Hynda

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/16	NOTRE DAME PREP (13-1)	AZ 2 North	87.1	1	L	11-	13		-0.225
3/01	PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (6-7)	AZ 2 North	79.2	5	W	11-	8		0.175
3/05	CATALINA FOOTHILLS (5-7)	AZ 2 South	74.3	7	W	20-	9		0.025
3/08	at Oro Valley (0-12)	AZ 2 South	62.5		W	17-	0		0.000
3/12	SALPOINTE CATHOLIC (9-5)	AZ 2 South	79.6	4	W	12-	11		0.100
3/15	at Pinnacle (2-10)	AZ 2 North	71.5	9	W	20-	5		0.000
3/26	ORO VALLEY (0-12)	AZ 2 South	62.5		W	13-	0		0.000
3/29	at Mesquite (1-11)	AZ 2 East	69.8	10	W	19-	5		0.025
4/02	at Salpointe Catholic (9-5)	AZ 2 South	79.6	4	W	14-	5		0.125
4/05	at Phoenix Country Day (6-7)	AZ 2 North	79.2	5	L	14-	19		-0.325
4/08	at Catalina Foothills (5-7)	AZ 2 South	74.3	7	W	11-	5		0.050
4/12	at Mesa (4-8)	AZ 2 East	73.5	8	W	18-	5		0.025
4/15	PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (6-7)	AZ 2 North	79.2	5	W	13-	7		0.175
4/19	vs. Hamilton # (11-3)	AZ 2 East	82.1	3	W	15-	14	ot	0.150
4/26	vs. Notre Dame Prep # (13-1)	AZ 2 North	87.1	1	W	13-	8		1.275
# Neutral site			78.7						1.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	H	Notre Dame Prep	11-	13	-2	-1		-0.32	-1.27
3/01	H	Phoenix Country Day	11-	8	3	3		-0.32	-0.27
3/05	H	Catalina Foothills	20-	9	11	9		-0.32	1.96
3/08	A	Oro Valley	17-	0	17	19		0.32	-1.79
3/12	H	Salpointe Catholic	12-	11	1	6	––	-0.32	-4.83
3/15	A	Pinnacle	20-	5	15	11	++	0.32	4.25
3/26	H	Oro Valley	13-	0	13	19	–––	-0.32	-6.43
3/29	A	Mesquite	19-	5	14	9	++	0.32	4.53
4/02	A	Salpointe Catholic	14-	5	9	5	+	0.32	3.81
4/05	A	Phoenix Country Day	14-	19	-5	3	–––	0.32	-7.63
4/08	A	Catalina Foothills	11-	5	6	8	–	0.32	-2.40
4/12	A	Mesa	18-	5	13	9	++	0.32	4.33
4/15	H	Phoenix Country Day	13-	7	6	3	+	-0.32	2.73
4/19	N	Hamilton	15-	14	1	4	–	0.00	-3.03
4/26	N	Notre Dame Prep	13-	8	5	-1	+++	0.00	6.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	H	Catalina Foothills	20-	9	-1.00
3/08	A	Oro Valley	17-	0	1.79
3/15	A	Pinnacle	20-	5	-4.25
3/26	H	Oro Valley	13-	0	6.43
3/29	A	Mesquite	19-	5	-4.00
4/12	A	Mesa	18-	5	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1189
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.75		Natl Power Rank	1189
Natl SOS Rating	65.00		Natl SOS Rank	1981
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	88
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	119
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	11-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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