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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Upper Arlington Golden Bears (19-3)

Conference: MIDWESTRegion: OH 1 Reg 1State: OHCoach: Ted Wolford

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/26HILLIARD DARBY (2-14)OH 1 Reg 187.3W16- 3 0.000  
4/05ARCHBISHOP MOELLER (13-6)OH 1 Reg 496.38W18- 9 0.075  
4/09DUBLIN JEROME (14-6)OH 1 Reg 297.06W12-11 0.125  
4/12at Olentangy HS (15-3)OH 1 Reg 194.8W14- 4 0.050  
4/16DUBLIN COFFMAN (10-8)OH 1 Reg 194.5W15- 4 0.000  
4/19at Brother Rice (23-0)MI 199.1L13-14 -0.200  
4/20at Univ Detroit Jesuit (13-9)MI 193.9W11- 4 0.150  
4/23at Dublin Scioto (12-8)OH 1 Reg 296.37L5- 8 -0.325  
4/25at Thomas Worthington (14-7)OH 1 Reg 197.45W6- 4 0.225  
4/26WESTERVILLE NORTH (8-9)OH 1 Reg 190.4W15- 2 0.000  
4/30at Worthington Kilbourne (19-4)OH 1 Reg 298.53W13-10 0.325  
5/02TOLEDO ST JOHN'S (12-8)OH 1 Reg 191.8W14- 2 0.000  
5/03WOOSTER (11-6)OH 1 Reg 394.7W15- 6 0.025  
5/07HILLIARD DAVIDSON (6-12)OH 1 Reg 290.2W12- 5 0.000  
5/09at Cincinnati St Xavier (14-8)OH 1 Reg 495.79W11- 5 0.125  
5/10at Cincinnati Indian Hill (11-7)OH 1 Reg 494.0W8- 3 0.100  
5/17at Brother Rice (23-0)MI 199.1L6- 9 -0.200  
5/18vs. Worthington Kilbourne # (19-4)OH 1 Reg 298.53W11- 7 0.275  
5/28DUBLIN COFFMAN (10-8)OH 1 Reg 194.5W14- 7 0.000  
5/31THOMAS WORTHINGTON (14-7)OH 1 Reg 197.45W10- 7 0.150  
6/03CINCINNATI ST XAVIER (14-8)OH 1 Reg 495.79W14- 6 0.050  
6/07vs. Worthington Kilbourne # (19-4)OH 1 Reg 298.53W8- 3 1.275  
# Neutral site 91.8     2.23  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/26HHilliard Darby16-313   16       –-1.28       -2.60
4/05HArchbishop Moeller18-99   7       -1.28       1.91
4/09HDublin Jerome12-111   5       ––-1.28       -4.09
4/12AOlentangy HS14-410   8       +1.28       2.28
4/16HDublin Coffman15-411   10       -1.28       1.43
4/19ABrother Rice13-14-1   -2       1.35       0.54
4/20AUniv Detroit Jesuit11-47   4       +1.35       3.30
4/23ADublin Scioto5-8-3   3       ––1.28       -5.90
4/25AThomas Worthington6-42   1       1.28       0.98
4/26HWesterville North15-213   14       -1.28       -0.60
4/30AWorthington Kilbourne13-103   -3       ++1.28       5.54
5/02HToledo St John's14-212   12       -1.28       -0.45
5/03HWooster15-69   9       -1.28       -0.19
5/07HHilliard Davidson12-57   14       –––-1.28       -6.66
5/09ACincinnati St Xavier11-56   5       1.28       0.73
5/10ACincinnati Indian Hill8-35   6       1.28       -0.98
5/17ABrother Rice6-9-3   -2       1.35       -1.46
5/18NWorthington Kilbourne11-74   -1       ++0.00       5.26
5/28HDublin Coffman14-77   10       –-1.28       -2.57
5/31HThomas Worthington10-73   4       -1.28       -0.57
6/03HCincinnati St Xavier14-68   8       -1.28       0.18
6/07NWorthington Kilbourne8-35   -1       +++0.00       6.26
         0.002.37

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/26HHilliard Darby16-32.60
4/12AOlentangy HS14-40.00
4/16HDublin Coffman15-4-1.43
4/26HWesterville North15-20.60
5/02HToledo St John's14-20.45
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 195.   Natl CCR Rank 32
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 33
Natl Power Rating 98.91   Natl Power Rank 33
Natl SOS Rating 90.37   Natl SOS Rank 98
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.23   Natl Quality Win Rank 31
W-L Pct Rating 0.86   W-L Pct Rank 134
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 5-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 3.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 9-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 15-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.3

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