High School Computer Ratings

University SF Red Devils (13-10)

Conference: D1

Region: CA BayArea

State: CA

Coach: Matt Mesa

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/27	NOVATO (18-4)	CA Marin	93.0	6	L	10-	11		-0.175
3/04	ACALANES (14-6)	CA DFAL	91.5		L	9-	11		-0.225
3/07	TAMALPAIS (7-12)	CA Marin	84.8		W	13-	8		0.125
3/11	SAN MARIN (4-12)	CA Marin	83.6		W	11-	5		0.100
3/14	at San Ramon Valley (20-3)	CA EastBay	96.4	2	L	9-	15		0.000
3/18	at Berkeley (6-12)	CA BayShor	87.4		W	11-	10		0.250
3/19	at Sonoma Academy (7-10)	CA BayArea	77.7		W	10-	1		0.000
3/21	PIEDMONT (9-10)	CA BayShor	90.2		W	10-	6		0.250
3/25	SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (19-1)	CA Indep	98.8	1	L	4-	20		0.000
3/27	vs. Lincoln # (20-2)	OR Columb	95.1		L	6-	15		-0.150
3/28	vs. Lakeridge # (16-5)	OR Rivers	93.0		W	12-	11	ot	0.300
3/29	vs. Bainbridge Island # (20-3)	WA 1 Div-1	95.8		L	10-	11	ot	-0.125
4/01	CARDINAL NEWMAN (13-3)	CA BayArea	90.5		W	15-	13		0.200
4/04	MARIN CATHOLIC (11-10)	CA Marin	91.2		W	14-	10		0.275
4/16	at Lick-Wilmerding (12-5)	CA BayArea	86.6		L	2-	3	ot	-0.375
4/21	STUART HALL (0-10)	CA BayArea	67.0		W	15-	0		0.000
4/23	MONTE VISTA/DANVILLE (11-10)	CA EastBay	91.5		L	10-	13		-0.225
4/25	BELLARMINE PREP (17-5)	CA PAL	93.3	5	L	9-	11		-0.175
4/28	at Menlo School (9-10)	CA PAL	89.2		W	13-	12	ot	0.275
4/30	MARIN ACADEMY (3-13)	CA BayArea	72.2		W	17-	5		0.000
5/06	CARDINAL NEWMAN (13-3)	CA BayArea	90.5		W	10-	8		0.200
5/08	vs. Lick-Wilmerding # (12-5)	CA BayArea	86.6		W	14-	4		0.125
5/13	vs. Monte Vista/Danville # (11-10)	CA EastBay	91.5		L	7-	8		-0.225
# Neutral site			83.7						0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Novato	10-	11	-1	-3		-0.66	1.55
3/04	H	Acalanes	9-	11	-2	-1		-0.66	-0.90
3/07	H	Tamalpais	13-	8	5	5		-0.66	-0.25
3/11	H	San Marin	11-	5	6	6		-0.66	0.38
3/14	A	San Ramon Valley	9-	15	-6	-11	++	0.66	4.57
3/18	A	Berkeley	11-	10	1	0		0.66	0.87
3/19	A	Sonoma Academy	10-	1	9	13	–	0.66	-3.86
3/21	H	Piedmont	10-	6	4	0	++	-0.66	4.16
3/25	H	Saint Ignatius Prep	4-	20	-16	-14		-0.66	-1.66
3/27	N	Lincoln	6-	15	-9	-4	––	0.00		-5.12
3/28	N	Lakeridge	12-	11	1	-2	+	0.00		2.79
3/29	N	Bainbridge Island	10-	11	-1	-5	+	0.00		3.66
4/01	H	Cardinal Newman	15-	13	2	2		-0.66	-0.22
4/04	H	Marin Catholic	14-	10	4	-1	++	-0.66	5.21
4/16	A	Lick-Wilmerding	2-	3	-1	5	––	0.66	-5.65
4/21	H	Stuart Hall	15-	0	15	20	––	-0.66	-5.04
4/23	H	Monte Vista/Danville	10-	13	-3	-1	–	-0.66	-2.23
4/25	H	Bellarmine Prep	9-	11	-2	-3		-0.66	0.98
4/28	A	Menlo School	13-	12	1	-1		0.66	1.78
4/30	H	Marin Academy	17-	5	12	17	––	-0.66	-4.62
5/06	H	Cardinal Newman	10-	8	2	2		-0.66	-0.22
5/08	N	Lick-Wilmerding	14-	4	10	5	++	0.00	4.69
5/13	N	Monte Vista/Danville	7-	8	-1	-1		0.00	0.43
									0.00	1.34