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University Liggett Knights (11-3)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Coach: Chris Hartley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	L'ANSE CREUSE (13-5)	MI 2	89.8		W	11-	6		0.225
4/12	AA GABRIEL RICHARD (9-9)	MI 2	82.0		W	7-	2		0.050
4/16	GROSSE POINTE NORTH (10-7)	MI 2	88.8		W	11-	10		0.200
4/19	at Notre Dame Prep (19-2)	MI 2	92.4	8	L	7-	13		-0.100
4/22	at Ann Arbor Greenhills (7-9)	MI 2	78.9		W	13-	9		0.000
4/25	ROCHESTER ADAMS (11-9)	MI 2	86.4		W	13-	9		0.150
4/28	at Romeo (3-12)	MI 1	80.9		W	8-	2		0.075
4/30	GROSSE ILE (6-10)	MI 2	79.3		W	14-	4		0.000
5/03	GROSSE POINTE SOUTH (14-8)	MI 2	90.0		W	7-	5		0.275
5/08	CRANBROOK (16-6)	MI 2	92.5	7	L	4-	9		-0.150
5/09	at Grosse Ile (6-10)	MI 2	79.3		W	18-	4		0.000
5/13	at Royal Oak (10-8)	MI 1	83.7		W	9-	4		0.175
5/21	OL ST MARY'S (9-9)	MI 2	90.0		W	11-	9		0.300
5/27	vs. Cranbrook # (16-6)	MI 2	92.5	7	L	6-	9		-0.125
# Neutral site			76.6						1.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	H	L'Anse Creuse	11-	6	5	1	++	-1.42	4.37
4/12	H	AA Gabriel Richard	7-	2	5	8	–	-1.42	-2.85
4/16	H	Grosse Pointe North	11-	10	1	2		-1.42	-0.72
4/19	A	Notre Dame Prep	7-	13	-6	-6		1.42	-0.37
4/22	A	Ann Arbor Greenhills	13-	9	4	12	–––	1.42	-8.47
4/25	H	Rochester Adams	13-	9	4	4		-1.42	-0.26
4/28	A	Romeo	8-	2	6	7		1.42	-0.82
4/30	H	Grosse Ile	14-	4	10	13	–	-1.42	-3.30
5/03	H	Grosse Pointe South	7-	5	2	-1	+	-1.42	2.67
5/08	H	Cranbrook	4-	9	-5	-4		-1.42	-1.24
5/09	A	Grosse Ile	18-	4	14	10	+	1.42	3.54
5/13	A	Royal Oak	9-	4	5	3		1.42	1.55
5/21	H	OL St Mary's	11-	9	2	-2	+	-1.42	3.72
5/27	N	Cranbrook	6-	9	-3	-5	+	0.00	2.18
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/30	H	Grosse Ile	14-	4	3.30
5/09	A	Grosse Ile	18-	4	-3.54
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	671
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.45		Natl Power Rank	671
Natl SOS Rating	61.31		Natl SOS Rank	2297
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	203
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	306
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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