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St John Vianney Lancers (1-17)

Conference: Shore

Region: NJ Grp-A

State: NJ

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Wall Township (12-6)	NJ Grp-II	91.2		L	4-	18		0.000
4/05	MONSIGNOR DONOVAN (10-5)	NJ Grp-A	91.2		L	5-	14		0.000
4/08	SOUTHERN REGIONAL (8-8)	NJ Grp-IV	85.3		L	3-	14		-0.050
4/10	at Red Bank Catholic (15-3)	NJ Grp-A	96.9		L	1-	15		0.000
4/12	FREEHOLD TOWNSHIP (7-8)	NJ Grp-IV	86.8		L	4-	7		-0.050
4/14	at Colt's Neck (5-10)	NJ Grp-IV	83.6		L	5-	12		0.000
4/16	MANASQUAN (10-7)	NJ Grp-I	92.1		L	0-	15		0.000
4/19	at Toms River East (15-4)	NJ Grp-III	93.1		L	2-	19		0.000
4/21	OCEAN TOWNSHIP (2-16)	NJ Grp-III	67.4		W	7-	1		0.175
4/23	RED BANK REGIONAL (14-3)	NJ Grp-II	96.6		L	3-	20		0.000
4/26	MARLBORO (8-11)	NJ Grp-IV	81.0		L	5-	10		-0.125
4/29	at St Rose Belmar (2-15)	NJ Grp-B	74.1		L	3-	19		-0.125
5/01	at Brick Memorial (5-11)	NJ Grp-IV	75.3		L	11-	12	2ot	-0.150
5/03	at Toms River South (8-8)	NJ Grp-III	87.5		L	5-	13		0.000
5/06	at J.P. Stevens (3-15)	NJ Grp-IV	72.4		L	7-	8		-0.175
5/08	at Jackson Memorial (7-9)	NJ Grp-IV	85.5		L	3-	17		0.000
5/17	OLD BRIDGE (7-12)	NJ Grp-IV	86.9		L	3-	13		0.000
5/29	at Rumson-Fair Haven (12-4)	NJ Grp-I	94.8		L	2-	23		0.000
			77.4						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Wall Township	4-	18	-14	-14		1.37	0.08
4/05	H	Monsignor Donovan	5-	14	-9	-11		-1.37	1.77
4/08	H	Southern Regional	3-	14	-11	-8	–	-1.37	-3.03
4/10	A	Red Bank Catholic	1-	15	-14	-18	++	1.37	4.40
4/12	H	Freehold Township	4-	7	-3	-8	++	-1.37	5.16
4/14	A	Colt's Neck	5-	12	-7	-10	+	1.37	3.18
4/16	H	Manasquan	0-	15	-15	-13	–	-1.37	-2.23
4/19	A	Toms River East	2-	19	-17	-14	–	1.37	-2.63
4/21	H	Ocean Township	7-	1	6	3	+	-1.37	3.35
4/23	H	Red Bank Regional	3-	20	-17	-17		-1.37	-0.50
4/26	H	Marlboro	5-	10	-5	-5		-1.37	-0.18
4/29	A	St Rose Belmar	3-	19	-16	-5	–––	1.37	10.91
5/01	A	Brick Memorial	11-	12	-1	-4	+	1.37	3.30
5/03	A	Toms River South	5-	13	-8	-11	+	1.37	3.12
5/06	A	J.P. Stevens	7-	8	-1	-3		1.37	1.53
5/08	A	Jackson Memorial	3-	17	-14	-11	–	1.37	-3.07
5/17	H	Old Bridge	3-	13	-10	-11		-1.37	0.81
5/29	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	2-	23	-21	-17	––	1.37	-4.15
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Wall Township	4-	18	-0.08
4/08	H	Southern Regional	3-	14	1.00
4/10	A	Red Bank Catholic	1-	15	-4.40
4/16	H	Manasquan	0-	15	2.23
4/19	A	Toms River East	2-	19	2.63
4/23	H	Red Bank Regional	3-	20	0.50
4/29	A	St Rose Belmar	3-	19	6.00
5/08	A	Jackson Memorial	3-	17	3.07
5/17	H	Old Bridge	3-	13	-0.81
5/29	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	2-	23	4.15
10-goal correction: 0.79

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	2582
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.59		Natl Power Rank	2582
Natl SOS Rating	62.49		Natl SOS Rank	2206
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2340
W-L Pct Rating	0.06		W-L Pct Rank	2696
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-17		Ave Goal diff (all )	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-15.0


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