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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Ward Melville Patriots (19-1)

Conference: Div IRegion: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Mike Hoppey

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/25at Sayville (12-5)NY B Sec 1198.310W10- 4 0.150  
4/01at Sachem North (4-13)NY A Sec 1187.9W12- 1 0.000  
4/03LINDENHURST (14-6)NY A Sec 1198.77W8- 4 0.175  
4/05GARDEN CITY (15-5)NY B Sec 899.3W6- 5 0.225  
4/09at Bellport (10-8)NY A Sec 1193.4W11- 2 0.025  
4/11SMITHTOWN WEST (13-7)NY A Sec 1198.49W6- 1 0.150  
4/15EAST ISLIP (11-7)NY A Sec 1196.4W7- 6 0.075  
4/17SMITHTOWN EAST (12-7)NY A Sec 1197.9W11- 4 0.125  
4/19YORKTOWN (20-4)NY A Sec 199.1W9- 1 0.225  
4/23at West Babylon (6-11)NY A Sec 1189.3W15- 3 0.000  
4/29at West Islip (19-2)NY A Sec 1199.81W10- 9 0.325  
5/01BAY SHORE (13-6)NY A Sec 1197.6W13- 5 0.125  
5/07at William Floyd (11-7)NY A Sec 1197.2W12- 9 0.175  
5/10at Patchogue-Medford (2-15)NY A Sec 1187.5W11- 1 0.000  
5/13at Half Hollow Hills West (14-4)NY A Sec 1198.76W12- 6 0.175  
5/15SACHEM EAST (5-11)NY A Sec 1191.4W9- 2 0.000  
5/19at Northport (8-10)NY A Sec 1194.5W9- 1 0.075  
5/28MIDDLE COUNTRY (13-6)NY A Sec 1196.2W6- 0 0.050  
5/31SMITHTOWN WEST (13-7)NY A Sec 1198.49W6- 5 0.150  
6/05vs. West Islip # (19-2)NY A Sec 1199.81L3- 4 -0.200  
# Neutral site 92.1     2.02  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25ASayville10-46   4       0.65       1.51
4/01ASachem North12-111   13       0.65       -2.38
4/03HLindenhurst8-44   3       -0.65       0.96
4/05HGarden City6-51   1       -0.66       -0.01
4/09ABellport11-29   9       0.65       0.17
4/11HSmithtown West6-15   4       -0.65       0.75
4/15HEast Islip7-61   7       ––-0.65       -5.85
4/17HSmithtown East11-47   5       -0.65       1.62
4/19HYorktown9-18   1       +++-0.87       6.54
4/23AWest Babylon15-312   11       0.65       1.47
4/29AWest Islip10-91   -3       ++0.65       4.13
5/01HBay Shore13-58   5       +-0.65       2.55
5/07AWilliam Floyd12-93   3       0.65       -0.26
5/10APatchogue-Medford11-110   12       0.65       -1.70
5/13AHalf Hollow Hills West12-66   3       +0.65       3.25
5/15HSachem East9-27   11       -0.65       -3.64
5/19ANorthport9-18   7       0.65       1.44
5/28HMiddle Country6-06   8       -0.65       -2.25
5/31HSmithtown West6-51   4       -0.65       -3.25
6/05NWest Islip3-4-1   -2       0.00       1.48
         0.006.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01ASachem North12-12.38
4/23AWest Babylon15-3-1.47
5/10APatchogue-Medford11-11.70
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 199.   Natl CCR Rank 6
Natl Poll Vote 99.   Natl Poll Rank 7
Natl Power Rating 99.67   Natl Power Rank 5
Natl SOS Rating 90.95   Natl SOS Rank 89
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.02   Natl Quality Win Rank 44
W-L Pct Rating 0.95   W-L Pct Rank 32
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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