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Watkinson Rams (3-11)

Region: NE 3 West

State: CT

Coach: Ken Langille

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	FORMAN SCHOOL (6-6)	NE 3 West	75.3		L	3-	10		-0.075
4/11	HAMDEN HALL (5-10)	NE 2 FAA	78.0		L	2-	16		0.000
4/14	MARVELWOOD (3-10)	NE 3 West	65.8		W	10-	6		0.125
4/16	at Darrow (5-4)	NE 3 West	74.6		L	5-	12		-0.075
4/19	at Wooster (8-6)	NE 3 West	74.1		L	3-	13		-0.125
4/23	at Harvey School (10-5)	NE 3 West	75.1		L	7-	8		-0.100
4/26	WILBRAHAM & MONSON (4-9)	NE 2 West	80.2		L	1-	16		0.000
4/30	WILLIAMS (10-4)	NE East-2	87.4		L	2-	17		0.000
5/06	at Storm King (5-7)	NE 3 West	69.7		W	12-	11		0.250
5/09	NEW YORK MIL ACADEMY (2-11)	NE 3 West	69.1		W	10-	4		0.275
5/12	at Marianapolis Prep (4-10)	NE SENE	77.2		L	4-	12		-0.050
5/14	at Hoosac (3-5)	NE 3 West	72.4		L	10-	11	ot	-0.100
5/17	CHASE COLLEGIATE (13-5)	NE 3 West	78.4		L	4-	18		0.000
5/19	at Masters Conn (7-8)	NE 3 West	71.4		L	6-	12		-0.175
			71.9						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Forman School	3-	10	-7	-7		-0.01	0.45
4/11	H	Hamden Hall	2-	16	-14	-11	–	-0.01	-3.49
4/14	H	Marvelwood	10-	6	4	5		-0.01	-0.92
4/16	A	Darrow	5-	12	-7	-7		0.01	0.31
4/19	A	Wooster	3-	13	-10	-5	––	0.01	-5.22
4/23	A	Harvey School	7-	8	-1	-6	++	0.01	4.98
4/26	H	Wilbraham & Monson	1-	16	-15	-13	–	-0.01	-2.01
4/30	H	Williams	2-	17	-15	-18	+	-0.18		2.75
5/06	A	Storm King	12-	11	1	0		0.01	1.26
5/09	H	New York Mil Academy	10-	4	6	-1	+++	-0.01	7.21
5/12	A	Marianapolis Prep	4-	12	-8	-8		0.18		-0.07
5/14	A	Hoosac	10-	11	-1	-6	++	0.01	5.02
5/17	H	Chase Collegiate	4-	18	-14	-10	––	-0.01	-4.20
5/19	A	Masters Conn	6-	12	-6	-3	–	0.01	-3.39
									0.00	2.68

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	H	Hamden Hall	2-	16	3.49
4/19	A	Wooster	3-	13	0.00
4/26	H	Wilbraham & Monson	1-	16	2.01
4/30	H	Williams	2-	17	-2.75
5/17	H	Chase Collegiate	4-	18	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.48

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	2583
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.45		Natl Power Rank	2583
Natl SOS Rating	53.72		Natl SOS Rank	2707
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1525
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	2318
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.0


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