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Winchester Thurston Bears (9-5)

Region: PA 2DSOUTH

State: PA

Coach: Darrell Schmitt

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Shaler Area (8-9)	PA 2DNORTH	77.9		W	7-	5		0.250
4/05	at Upper St Clair (7-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	85.4		L	1-	10		-0.050
4/10	at Greensburg Cath Cent (7-9)	PA 2DSOUTH	82.1		L	5-	6		-0.125
4/12	vs. Baldwin # (15-4)	PA 2DSOUTH	85.9		L	4-	8		-0.150
4/16	at Chartiers Valley (7-9)	PA 2DSOUTH	79.3		W	5-	4	+ot	0.275
4/19	at Canon-McMillan (1-13)	PA 2DSOUTH	71.8		W	8-	2		0.150
4/23	UNIVERSITY (7-9)	PA 2DSOUTH	72.1		W	10-	1		0.050
4/26	TRINITY (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	76.2		W	15-	9		0.150
5/07	KISKI PREP (18-5)	PA 2DNORTH	90.7	7	L	3-	9		-0.100
5/10	NORTH CATHOLIC (2-11)	PA DIV-3	62.3		W	9-	4		0.000
5/12	MORGANTOWN (12-5)	PA 2DSOUTH	79.1		W	7-	5		0.125
5/17	at Trinity (6-7)	PA 2DSOUTH	76.2		W	13-	8		0.200
5/21	at Greensburg Cath Cent (7-9)	PA 2DSOUTH	82.1		W	8-	7		0.375
5/28	at Baldwin (15-4)	PA 2DSOUTH	85.9		L	2-	12		-0.125
# Neutral site			80.2						1.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Shaler Area	7-	5	2	0		1.12	1.94
4/05	A	Upper St Clair	1-	10	-9	-8		1.12	-1.12
4/10	A	Greensburg Cath Cent	5-	6	-1	-5	+	1.12	3.57
4/12	N	Baldwin	4-	8	-4	-4		0.00	-0.06
4/16	A	Chartiers Valley	5-	4	1	-1	+	1.12	2.18
4/19	A	Canon-McMillan	8-	2	6	4		1.12	1.67
4/23	H	University	10-	1	9	8		-1.12	1.24
4/26	H	Trinity	15-	9	6	4		-1.12	1.72
5/07	H	Kiski Prep	3-	9	-6	-6		-1.12	0.15
5/10	H	North Catholic	9-	4	5	17	–––	-1.12	12.15
5/12	H	Morgantown	7-	5	2	5	–	-1.12	-2.75
5/17	A	Trinity	13-	8	5	2	+	1.12	2.97
5/21	A	Greensburg Cath Cent	8-	7	1	-5	++	1.12	5.57
5/28	A	Baldwin	2-	12	-10	-5	––	1.12	-4.93
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/28	A	Baldwin	2-	12	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1651
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.64		Natl Power Rank	1651
Natl SOS Rating	67.63		Natl SOS Rank	1714
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	225
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	810
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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